Home > Football > Eredivisie
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 64.4%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 17%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 3-1 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-2 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Twente |
| 64.4% ( | 18.59% | 17% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.76% ( | 32.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.16% ( | 53.84% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.5% | 9.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.13% ( | 31.87% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.96% ( | 32.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.49% ( | 68.5% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 8.43% ( 3-1 @ 7.53% 1-0 @ 7.17% ( 3-0 @ 6.62% ( 4-1 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 4.29% ( 4-0 @ 3.89% ( 4-2 @ 2.52% ( 5-1 @ 2.09% 5-0 @ 1.83% 5-2 @ 1.19% 4-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.87% Total : 64.4% | 1-1 @ 8.16% 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0-0 @ 3.04% ( 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.3% Total : 18.59% | 1-2 @ 4.64% 0-1 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0-2 @ 1.97% 1-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 3.09% Total : 17% |