Eredivisie | Gameweek 18

Jan 11, 2025 at 8pm UK

Philips Stadion

PSV
2 - 2
AZ

de Jong (68', 85' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lahdo (41'), Meerdink (74')
Moller Wolfe (27'), Clasie (76'), (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: PSV 3-0 Feyenoord
Sunday, December 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 1-0 FC Twente
Saturday, December 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.75%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 12.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 3-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for an AZ Alkmaar win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
70.75% ( -0.22)	16.6% ( 0.11)	12.65% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 57.35% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.77% (

-0.21)

32.23% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.17% (

-0.25)

53.83% (

0.26)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.9% (

-0.09)

8.09% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.56% (

-0.25)

28.44% (

0.25)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.4% (

0.03)

37.59% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.63% (

0.03)

74.37% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 70.75%

AZ Alkmaar 12.65%

Draw 16.6%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.47% Total : 70.75%	1-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 16.6%	1-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 12.65%