Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 87.6%. A draw had a probability of 8.2% and a win for Koninklijke HFC had a probability of 4.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.65%), while for a Koninklijke HFC win it was 1-2 (1.35%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Koninklijke HFC
87.6%	8.25%	4.16%

Both teams to score 50.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

79.82%

20.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

61.64%

38.35%

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.06%

2.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

86.7%

13.3%

Koninklijke HFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.14%

47.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.87%

83.13%

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 87.59%

Koninklijke HFC 4.16%

Draw 8.25%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Koninklijke HFC
3-0 @ 10.28% 4-0 @ 9.07% 2-0 @ 8.75% 3-1 @ 7.58% 4-1 @ 6.69% 2-1 @ 6.45% 5-0 @ 6.4% 1-0 @ 4.96% 5-1 @ 4.72% 6-0 @ 3.76% 3-2 @ 2.79% 6-1 @ 2.77% 4-2 @ 2.46% 7-0 @ 1.9% 5-2 @ 1.74% 7-1 @ 1.4% 6-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 4.86% Total : 87.59%	1-1 @ 3.65% 2-2 @ 2.38% 0-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.81% Total : 8.25%	1-2 @ 1.35% 0-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.77% Total : 4.16%