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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 54.23%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.32%) and 0-1 (7.2%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 24.37% ( | 21.4% ( | 54.23% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.39% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.86% ( | 35.14% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.85% ( | 57.14% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.93% ( | 27.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.56% ( | 62.44% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.91% ( | 13.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.29% ( | 39.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 6.15% ( 1-0 @ 4.63% ( 2-0 @ 3.03% ( 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 3-1 @ 2.68% ( 3-0 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 3.84% Total : 24.37% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0-0 @ 3.54% ( 3-3 @ 1.85% ( Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.4% | 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0-2 @ 7.32% ( 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 1-3 @ 6.49% ( 0-3 @ 4.96% 2-3 @ 4.24% ( 1-4 @ 3.3% ( 0-4 @ 2.52% ( 2-4 @ 2.16% ( 1-5 @ 1.34% ( 0-5 @ 1.03% ( 3-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 3.16% Total : 54.23% |