Serie A Gameweek 23
Feb 2, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Kouadio Kone 51' yellowcard
  • Niccolo Pisilli 72' yellowcard
  • Angelino 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Matteo Politano 14'
  • goal Leonardo Spinazzola 29'

Roma vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Last game
Jan 26, 2025 2.00pm
Udinese 1 - 2 Roma
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Artem Dovbyk

Napoli

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2025 5.00pm
Napoli 2 - 1 Juventus
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Romelu Lukaku

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Roma 42.34% (+0.11)
Draw 27.04% (+0.09)
Napoli 30.62% (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.53% (-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.45% (-0.41)
Under 2.5 55.55% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 23.27% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 76.72% (+0.33)
Over 4.5 10.28% (-0.21)
Under 4.5 89.72% (+0.21)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 74.06% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 25.93% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 39.06% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 60.93% (+0.18)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5 66.88% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 33.12% (+0.36)
Over 1.5 30.28% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 69.72% (+0.39)

Score analysis

Roma 42.33%
Draw 27.04%
Napoli 30.62%
Roma
1-0 @ 11.59% (+0.15)
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.82% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 3.89% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.52% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 42.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.81% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 8.59% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.04%
Napoli
0-1 @ 9.49% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 5.24% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 30.62%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 13
Nov 24, 2024 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
  • Romelu Lukaku 54' goal
  • yellowcard Evan N'Dicka 38'
  • yellowcard Niccolo Pisilli 60'
  • yellowcard Bryan Cristante 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 34
Apr 28, 2024 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
  • Mathias Olivera 64' goal
  • Amir Rrahmani 75' yellowcard
  • Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa 80' yellowcard
  • Victor Osimhen 84' goal
  • goal Paulo Dybala 59'
  • goal Tammy Abraham 88'
Serie A Gameweek 17
Dec 23, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Leandro Paredes 28' yellowcard
  • Rasmus Kristensen 32' yellowcard
  • Jose Mourinho 32' yellowcard
  • Bryan Cristante 38' yellowcard
  • Andrea Belotti 60' yellowcard
  • Nicola Zalewski 66' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini 76' goal
  • Stephan El Shaarawy 81' yellowcard
  • Sardar Azmoun 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Mario Rui 28'
  • yellowcard Walter Mazzarri 31'
  • yellowcard Juan Jesus 62'
  • redcard Matteo Politano 66'
  • yellowcard Victor Osimhen 73'
  • redcard Victor Osimhen 86'
Serie A Gameweek 20
Jan 29, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
  • Victor Osimhen 17' goal
  • Giovanni Simeone 86' goal
  • goal Stephan El Shaarawy 75'
Serie A Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • goal Victor Osimhen 80'
Serie A Gameweek 33
Apr 18, 2022 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lorenzo Insigne 11' goal
  • Kalidou Koulibaly 37' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Zanoli 52' yellowcard
  • Hirving Lozano 63' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Insigne 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bryan Cristante 17'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Zaniolo 71'
  • redcard Daniel Fuzato 79'
  • goal Stephan El Shaarawy 90'+1'