Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 23

Feb 2, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
1 - 1
Napoli

Angelino (90+2')
Kone (51'), Pisilli (72')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Spinazzola (29')
Politano (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 2-0 Frankfurt
Thursday, January 30 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Napoli

All competitions

Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Juventus
Saturday, January 25 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Napoli
42.34% ( 0.11)	27.04% ( 0.09)	30.62% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 49.53% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.45% (

-0.41)

55.55% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.27% (

-0.33)

76.72% (

0.33)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.06% (

-0.13)

25.93% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.06% (

-0.17)

60.93% (

0.17)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.88% (

-0.36)

33.12% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.28% (

-0.39)

69.72% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Roma 42.33%

Napoli 30.62%

Draw 27.04%

Roma	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 42.33%	1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.04%	0-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.5% Total : 30.62%