Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Napoli |
44.7% (![]() | 25.94% (![]() | 29.35% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.26% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.26% (![]() | 51.74% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.48% (![]() | 73.51% (![]() |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.93% (![]() | 23.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.09% (![]() | 56.91% (![]() |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.93% (![]() | 32.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.46% (![]() | 68.54% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 10.85% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.05% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.96% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.42% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.89% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 2.04% Total : 44.7% | 1-1 @ 12.34% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.4% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.15% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 8.41% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.02% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.79% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.81% ( ![]() Other @ 2.71% Total : 29.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Inter Milan | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 58 | 23 | 35 | 54 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 50 |
4 | Lazio | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 45 |
5 | Juventus | 24 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 43 |
6 | Fiorentina | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 42 |
7 | Bologna | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 41 |
8 | AC Milan | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 38 |
9 | Roma | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 34 |
10 | Udinese | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 30 |
11 | Torino | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 28 |
12 | Genoa | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 27 |
13 | CagliariCagliari | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 24 |
14 | Lecce | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 24 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 26 | 53 | -27 | 23 |
16 | Como | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 22 |
17 | Empoli | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 21 |
18 | Parma | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 24 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |