/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fatllog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnaplog.png)
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Mateo Retegui
16'
-
Ademola Lookman
55'
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Berat Djimsiti
64'
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Matteo Ruggeri
66'
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Giorgio Scalvini
76'
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Isak Hien
85'
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Matteo Politano
27'
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Scott McTominay
40'
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David Neres
42'
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Antonio Conte
74'
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Romelu Lukaku
78'
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Scott McTominay
88'
Atalanta BC vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result
Atalanta BC
44.7%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
25.94%
▼
(-0.13)
Napoli
29.35%
▲
(+0.12)
Both Teams to Score:
52.26%
▲
(+0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.26%
▲
(+0.56)
Under 2.5
51.74%
▼
(-0.56)
Over 3.5
26.48%
▲
(+0.48)
Under 3.5
73.51%
▼
(-0.48)
Over 4.5
12.31%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 4.5
87.69%
▼
(-0.31)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5
76.93%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 0.5
23.07%
▼
(-0.24)
Over 1.5
43.09%
▲
(+0.35)
Under 1.5
56.91%
▼
(-0.35)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
67.93%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 0.5
32.07%
▼
(-0.38)
Over 1.5
31.46%
▲
(+0.43)
Under 1.5
68.54%
▼
(-0.43)
Score analysis
Atalanta BC
44.7%
Draw
25.94%
Napoli
29.36%
Atalanta BC
1-0
@
10.85%
▼
(-0.17)
2-1 @ 9.05% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.96% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 44.7%
2-1 @ 9.05% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.96% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 44.7%
Draw
1-1
@
12.34%
▼
(-0.06)
0-0 @ 7.4% ▼ (-0.17)
2-2 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 25.94%
0-0 @ 7.4% ▼ (-0.17)
2-2 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 25.94%
Napoli
0-1
@
8.41%
▼
(-0.10)
1-2 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 29.36%
1-2 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 29.36%