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Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 18, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Napoli logo

Atalanta
2 - 3
Napoli

Retegui (16'), Lookman (55')
Djimsiti (64'), Ruggeri (66'), Scalvini (76'), Hien (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Politano (27'), McTominay (40'), Lukaku (78')
Neres (42'), Conte (74'), McTominay (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 1-1 Juventus
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, January 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-1 Napoli

Chasers Atalanta excel at home, while Serie A leaders Napoli are a force to be reckoned with on the road. Therefore, an intense contest between two of Italy's most respected coaches could end with the spoils shared, perhaps handing an advantage to Inter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawNapoli
44.7% (0.0039999999999978 0) 25.94% (-0.123 -0.12) 29.35% (0.118 0.12)
Both teams to score 52.26% (0.448 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.26% (0.551 0.55)51.74% (-0.55099999999999 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (0.474 0.47)73.51% (-0.474 -0.47)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.93% (0.23800000000001 0.24)23.07% (-0.237 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.09% (0.349 0.35)56.91% (-0.349 -0.35)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.93% (0.375 0.38)32.07% (-0.375 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.46% (0.424 0.42)68.54% (-0.42399999999999 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 44.7%
    Napoli 29.36%
    Draw 25.94%
Atalanta BCDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 10.85% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.42% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 44.7%
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.4% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.065 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 8.41% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.02% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 29.36%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Napoli

Atalanta BC
30.2%
Draw
39.6%
Napoli
30.2%
149
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 11
Napoli
0-3
Atalanta

Retegui (90+2'), Mazzocchi (90+3')
Lookman (10', 31'), Retegui (90+2')
Kolasinac (65'), Djimsiti (90+4')
Mar 30, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 30
Napoli
0-3
Atalanta

Osimhen (38'), Di Lorenzo (84')
Miranchuk (26'), Scamacca (45'), Koopmeiners (88')
Kolasinac (54'), Koopmeiners (82')
Nov 25, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 13
Atalanta
1-2
Napoli
Lookman (53')
Djimsiti (27'), Kolasinac (64')
Kvaratskhelia (44'), Elmas (79')
Natan (21'), Mazzarri (22'), Di Lorenzo (60')
Mar 11, 2023 5pm
Nov 5, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 13
Atalanta
1-2
Napoli
Lookman (19' pen.)
Osimhen (23'), Elmas (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli24174339172255
2Inter Milan24166258233554
3Atalanta BCAtalanta24155454262850
4Lazio24143745321345
5Juventus241013141212043
6Fiorentina24126641251642
7Bologna24101133829941
8AC Milan23108535241138
9Roma249783529634
10Udinese2486102937-830
11Torino2561092731-428
12Genoa246992233-1127
13CagliariCagliari2466122639-1324
14Lecce2466121841-2324
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2472152653-2723
16Como2457122840-1222
17Empoli2449112235-1321
18Parma2448123044-1420
19VeneziaVenezia2437142239-1716
20Monza2427152139-1813


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