Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 48.89%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 25.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Juventus |
48.89% (![]() | 25.76% (![]() | 25.35% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.87% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.56% (![]() | 53.44% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.03% (![]() | 74.97% (![]() |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.12% (![]() | 21.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.87% (![]() | 55.13% (![]() |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.84% (![]() | 36.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.05% (![]() | 72.95% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 12.02% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.29% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.14% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.71% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.63% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.25% Total : 48.88% | 1-1 @ 12.23% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.91% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.73% ( ![]() Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.05% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.22% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.09% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 1.89% Total : 25.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 56 |
2 | Inter Milan | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 58 | 23 | 35 | 54 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 51 |
4 | Lazio | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 46 |
5 | Juventus | 24 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 43 |
6 | Fiorentina | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 42 |
7 | AC Milan | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 41 |
8 | Bologna | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 41 |
9 | Roma | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 37 |
10 | Udinese | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
11 | Torino | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 28 |
12 | Genoa | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 27 |
13 | Como | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 25 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 25 |
15 | Lecce | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 25 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 25 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 23 |
17 | Empoli | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 21 |
18 | Parma | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 25 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |