Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 48.89%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 25.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Juventus |
| 48.89% ( | 25.76% ( | 25.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.56% ( | 53.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.03% ( | 74.97% ( |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.12% ( | 21.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.87% ( | 55.13% ( |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% ( | 36.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.05% ( | 72.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Juventus |
| 1-0 @ 12.02% ( 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 2-0 @ 9.14% ( 3-1 @ 4.71% ( 3-0 @ 4.63% ( 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 4-0 @ 1.76% ( 4-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 48.88% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 2-2 @ 4.73% ( Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.05% ( 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0-2 @ 4.09% ( 1-3 @ 2.11% ( 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 1.89% Total : 25.35% |