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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Jan 25, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Juventus logo

Napoli
2 - 1
Juventus

Zambo Anguissa (57'), Lukaku (69' pen.)
Lobotka (72'), Spinazzola (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kolo (43')
Cambiaso (45'), Koopmeiners (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 2-3 Napoli
Saturday, January 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Brugge 0-0 Juventus
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Napoli 1-0 Juventus

Such has been their resilience and will-to-win under ex-Juve man Antonio Conte, Napoli can finally end the Bianconeri's Serie A unbeaten streak. Juventus boast plenty of talent across the final third, but they often fail to fire, while their hosts are generally rock-solid at the back. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 48.89%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 25.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawJuventus
48.89% (-1.914 -1.91) 25.76% (0.474 0.47) 25.35% (1.438 1.44)
Both teams to score 49.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.56% (-0.695 -0.7)53.44% (0.694 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.03% (-0.592 -0.59)74.97% (0.592 0.59)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.12% (-1.107 -1.11)21.88% (1.106 1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.87% (-1.709 -1.71)55.13% (1.708 1.71)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.84% (0.897 0.9)36.16% (-0.895 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.05% (0.898 0.9)72.95% (-0.898 -0.9)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 48.88%
    Juventus 25.35%
    Draw 25.76%
NapoliDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 12.02% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-0 @ 9.14% (-0.37 -0.37)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.236 -0.24)
3-0 @ 4.63% (-0.351 -0.35)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.154 -0.15)
4-0 @ 1.76% (-0.198 -0.2)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 48.88%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 7.91% (0.213 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.05% (0.406 0.41)
1-2 @ 6.22% (0.259 0.26)
0-2 @ 4.09% (0.3 0.3)
1-3 @ 2.11% (0.137 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 25.35%

How you voted: Napoli vs Juventus

Napoli
69.2%
Draw
18.3%
Juventus
12.5%
104
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 5pm
Mar 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Napoli
2-1
Juventus
Kvaratskhelia (42'), Raspadori (88')
Traore (47'), Calzona (90+5')
Chiesa (81')
Vlahovic (18'), Bremer (26'), Cambiaso (28'), Nonge (87')
Dec 8, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Juventus
1-0
Napoli
Gatti (51')
Bremer (58'), Locatelli (90+4')

Kvaratskhelia (45+1'), Jesus (63'), Skiri Oestigaard (85'), Osimhen (90+4')
Apr 23, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Juventus
0-1
Napoli
Raspadori (90+3')
Jan 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Napoli
5-1
Juventus
Osimhen (14', 65'), Kvaratskhelia (39'), Rrahmani (55'), Elmas (72')
Di Maria (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli25175341192256
2Inter Milan24166258233554
3Atalanta BCAtalanta25156454262851
4Lazio25144747341346
5Juventus241013141212043
6Fiorentina25126741271442
7AC Milan24118536241241
8Bologna24101133829941
9Roma2510783629737
10Udinese2596103237-533
11Torino2561092731-428
12Genoa246992233-1127
13Como2567123040-1025
14CagliariCagliari2567122639-1325
15Lecce2567121841-2325
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2572162654-2823
17Empoli2549122238-1621
18Parma2548133045-1520
19VeneziaVenezia2437142239-1716
20Monza2528152139-1814


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