Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20

Feb 3, 2025 at 8.45pm UK

Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave
2 - 2
Porto

Clayton (37'), Pohlmann (73')
Neto (61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Perez (51'), Otavio (76')
Otavio (49'), Eustaquio (53'), Varela (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Farense 1-2 Rio Ave
Saturday, January 25 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: M. Tel Aviv 0-1 Porto
Thursday, January 30 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 66.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 13.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.48%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Porto
13.64% ( -1.71)	19.72% ( -0.31)	66.63% ( 2.02)

Both teams to score 48.83% (

-3.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.32% (

-2.22)

44.68% (

2.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.95% (

-2.18)

67.04% (

2.18)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.81% (

-3.79)

44.19% (

3.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.72% (

-3.26)

80.28% (

3.27)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.5% (

-0.09)

12.5% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.51% (

-0.19)

38.49% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 13.64%

Porto 66.63%

Draw 19.72%

Rio Ave	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.47) 2-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.26) Other @ 1.34% Total : 13.64%	1-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.5) Other @ 0.84% Total : 19.72%	0-2 @ 11.94% ( 1.03) 0-1 @ 11.48% ( 1.03) 1-2 @ 9.75% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 8.28% ( 0.69) 1-3 @ 6.76% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 4.31% ( 0.34) 1-4 @ 3.52% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.36) 0-5 @ 1.79% ( 0.14) 1-5 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.19) Other @ 3.14% Total : 66.63%