Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18

Jan 18, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave
0 - 3
Sporting Lisbon

Aguilera (54')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Aderlan (3' og.), Hjulmand (23' pen.), Gyokeres (88')
Araujo (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-3 Rio Ave
Sunday, January 12 at 4.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Benfica (6-7 pen.)
Saturday, January 11 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 69.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 12.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
12.78% ( 0.48)	18.07% ( 0.19)	69.14% ( -0.67)

Both teams to score 52.01% (

0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.79% (

0.34)

39.2% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.46% (

0.36)

61.53% (

-0.36)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.96% (

0.98)

42.04% (

-0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.53% (

0.84)

78.47% (

-0.84)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.73% (

-0.07)

10.27% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.35% (

-0.17)

33.64% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 12.78%

Sporting Lisbon 69.14%

Draw 18.07%

Rio Ave	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.45% Total : 12.78%	1-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.07%	0-2 @ 11.18% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 8.48% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 7.35% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 4.83% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 4.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.09) 0-5 @ 2.2% ( -0.07) 1-5 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.5% Total : 69.14%