Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2025 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • Brandon Aguilera 54' yellowcard
  • goal Aderlan 3' (OG)
  • goal Morten Hjulmand 23'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 88'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Araujo 90'+4'

Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last game
Jan 6, 2025 8.15pm
Gil Vicente 1 - 1 Rio Ave
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Clayton

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Jan 3, 2025 8.15pm
Guimaraes 4 - 4 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
88
Top scorer
Viktor Gyokeres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 69.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 12.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result

Rio Ave 12.78% (+0.48)
Draw 18.07% (+0.19)
Sporting Lisbon 69.14% (-0.67)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.01% (+0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.79% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 39.2% (-0.35)
Over 3.5 38.46% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 61.53% (-0.37)
Over 4.5 20.92% (+0.29)
Under 4.5 79.08% (-0.29)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5 57.96% (+0.98)
Under 0.5 42.04% (-0.99)
Over 1.5 21.53% (+0.84)
Under 1.5 78.47% (-0.85)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 89.73% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 10.27% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 66.35% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 33.64% (+0.17)

Score analysis

Rio Ave 12.78%
Draw 18.07%
Sporting Lisbon 69.14%
Rio Ave
1-0 @ 3.74% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 3.69% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 1.62% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 1.21% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 1.07% (+0.07)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 12.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.52% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 4.32% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.2% (+0.14)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 18.07%
Sporting Lisbon
0-2 @ 11.18% (-0.25)
0-1 @ 9.83% (-0.19)
1-2 @ 9.69% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 8.48% (-0.22)
1-3 @ 7.35% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 4.83% (-0.14)
1-4 @ 4.18% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.19% (+0.09)
0-5 @ 2.2% (-0.07)
1-5 @ 1.9% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.81% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.5%
Total : 69.14%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2024 8.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Pedro Goncalves 6' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 26' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 51' yellowcard
  • Viktor Gyokeres 63' goal
  • Geny Catamo 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aderlan 35'
  • yellowcard Clayton 48'
  • goal Clayton 90'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2024 8.30pm
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • Umaro Embalo 3' goal
  • Umaro Embalo 6' yellowcard
  • Abdul-Aziz Yakubu 45'+4' goal
  • Joao Graca 60' yellowcard
  • Abdul-Aziz Yakubu 67' goal
  • Renato Pantalon 80' yellowcard
  • Vitor Gomes 83' yellowcard
  • Renato Pantalon 90'+1' redcard
  • Costinha 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jeremiah St Juste 6'
  • goal Morten Hjulmand 9'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 44'
  • yellowcard Geny Catamo 63'
  • goal Sebastian Coates 73'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Diomande 75'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 6
Sep 25, 2023 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
  • Paulinho 10' goal
  • Marcus Edwards 26' goal
  • Sebastian Coates 48' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aderlan 19'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Acevedo 47'
  • yellowcard Fabio Ronaldo 57'
  • yellowcard Ukra 73'
  • yellowcard Bruno Santos Ventura 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 19
Feb 6, 2023 9.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • goal Youssef Chermiti 84'
Taca da Liga
Dec 7, 2022 8.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • goal Goncalo Inacio 62'
  • goal Emmanuel Boateng 73' (OG)
Primeira Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2022 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade
  • Pedro Goncalves 36' goal
  • Manuel Ugarte 61' yellowcard
  • Matheus Nunes 67' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 75' goal
  • yellowcard Joao Ferreira 64'
  • yellowcard Amine Oudrhiri 83'