Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 25, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio de Sao Luis

Farense
1 - 2
Rio Ave

Tomane (82' pen.)
Soares (34'), Pastor (50'), Pedro Miranda Oliveira Menino (61'), Poloni (72'), Silva (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bondoso (22'), Clayton (59')
Clayton (37'), Petit (41'), Miszta (62'), Richards (71'), Petrasso (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Farense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Moreirense 0-0 Farense
Sunday, January 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Rio Ave 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, January 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.

Result
SC Farense	Draw	Rio Ave
26.21% ( 0.06)	26% ( 0.02)	47.78% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 49.9% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.23% (

-0.02)

53.76% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.75% (

-0.02)

75.24% (

0.01)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.39% (

0.04)

35.6% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.63% (

0.04)

72.37% (

-0.04)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.49% (

-0.04)

22.51% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.92% (

-0.06)

56.07% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

SC Farense 26.21%

Rio Ave 47.77%

Draw 26%

SC Farense	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.99% Total : 26.21%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26%	0-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 47.77%