Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Rio Ave |
26.21% (![]() | 26% (![]() | 47.78% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.9% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.23% (![]() | 53.76% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.75% (![]() | 75.24% (![]() |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.39% (![]() | 35.6% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.63% (![]() | 72.37% (![]() |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.49% (![]() | 22.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.92% (![]() | 56.07% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 8.28% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.37% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.27% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.47% ( ![]() Other @ 1.99% Total : 26.21% | 1-1 @ 12.34% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.01% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.75% ( ![]() Other @ 0.9% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 11.94% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.2% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.91% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.58% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.43% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.65% ( ![]() Other @ 2.99% Total : 47.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 57 | 16 | 41 | 51 |
2 | Benfica | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 46 | 16 | 30 | 44 |
3 | Porto | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 43 |
4 | Braga | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 40 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 35 |
6 | Casa Pia | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 29 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 27 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 24 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 34 | -12 | 24 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 22 |
14 | Nacional | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |