/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fparlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fromlog.png)
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Giovanni Leoni
31'
-
Botond Balogh
82'
-
Pontus Almqvist
85'
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Matias Soule
33'
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Matias Soule
34'
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Lorenzo Pellegrini
55'
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Lucas Gourna-Douath
63'
Parma vs Roma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F49%2Fclaudio-ranieri.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Parma had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Roma in this match.
Result
Parma
30.69%
▲
(+1.71)
Draw
26.37%
▲
(+0.23)
Roma
42.94%
▼
(-1.92)
Both Teams to Score:
51.63%
▲
(+0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.12%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 2.5
52.88%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 3.5
25.51%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 3.5
74.49%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 4.5
11.68%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 4.5
88.32%
▲
(+0.09)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5
68.31%
▲
(+1.17)
Under 0.5
31.69%
▼
(-1.17)
Over 1.5
31.89%
▲
(+1.32)
Under 1.5
68.1%
▼
(-1.32)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5
75.58%
▼
(-1.01)
Under 0.5
24.42%
▲
(+1.01)
Over 1.5
41.15%
▼
(-1.44)
Under 1.5
58.85%
▲
(+1.44)
Score analysis
Parma
30.69%
Draw
26.36%
Roma
42.94%
Parma
1-0
@
8.89%
▲
(+0.34)
2-1 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.29)
2-0 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.35)
3-1 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.20)
3-0 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.19)
3-2 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 30.69%
2-1 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.29)
2-0 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.35)
3-1 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.20)
3-0 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.19)
3-2 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 30.69%
Draw
1-1
@
12.53%
▲
(+0.10)
0-0 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 26.36%
0-0 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 26.36%
Roma
0-1
@
10.91%
▼
(-0.25)
1-2 @ 8.84% ▼ (-0.19)
0-2 @ 7.69% ▼ (-0.42)
1-3 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.22)
0-3 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.31)
2-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.13)
0-4 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 42.94%
1-2 @ 8.84% ▼ (-0.19)
0-2 @ 7.69% ▼ (-0.42)
1-3 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.22)
0-3 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.31)
2-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.13)
0-4 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 42.94%