Serie A Gameweek 23
Parma
Jan 31, 2025 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini
Lecce
  • Emanuele Valeri 34' goal
  • Drissa Camara 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ylber Ramadani 20'
  • goal Nikola Krstovic 24'
  • goal Nikola Krstovic 36'
  • goal Santiago Pierotti 63'
  • yellowcard Jesper Karlsson 79'
  • goal Santiago Pierotti 90'+3'

Parma vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions
Last game
Jan 26, 2025 11.30am
AC Milan 3 - 2 Parma
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Ange-Yoan Bonny

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Jan 26, 2025 5.00pm
Lecce 0 - 4 Inter Milan
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Nikola Krstovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 25.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result

Parma 49.39% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 25.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Lecce 25.42% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.68% ▲ (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.89% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 51.11% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 27.04% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 72.96% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 12.68% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 4.5 87.32% ▼ (-0.04)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5 79.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 20.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 46.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 53.31% ▼ (-0.01)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 65.17% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 0.5 34.83% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 1.5 28.44% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 71.56% ▼ (-0.11)

Score analysis

Parma 49.39%
Draw 25.18%
Lecce 25.42%
Parma
1-0 @ 11.35% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.43% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.94% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.95%
3-0 @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.95%
4-0 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 49.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.97% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 25.18%
Lecce
0-1 @ 7.61% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.32% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 25.42%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 5
Lecce
Sep 21, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Parma
  • Ylber Ramadani 31' yellowcard
  • Patrick Dorgu 32' goal
  • Frederic Guilbert 47' redcard
  • Patrick Dorgu 51' yellowcard
  • Kialonda Gaspar 54' yellowcard
  • Nikola Krstovic 59' goal
  • Hamza Rafia 84' yellowcard
  • redcard Matteo Cancellieri 58'
  • goal Pontus Almqvist 90'+3'
  • goal Antoine Hainaut 90'+5'
Coppa Italia
Lecce
Nov 1, 2023 5.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 4
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Parma
  • Roberto Piccoli 54' goal
  • Roberto Piccoli 54' goal
  • Gabriel Espeto 72' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Espeto 72' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Espeto 76' goal
  • Gabriel Espeto 76' goal
  • Medon Berisha 87' yellowcard
  • Medon Berisha 87' yellowcard
  • goal Simon Sohm 9'
  • goal Simon Sohm 9'
  • goal Ange-Yoan Bonny 28'
  • goal Ange-Yoan Bonny 28'
  • yellowcard Valentin Mihaila 33'
  • yellowcard Valentin Mihaila 33'
  • yellowcard Woyo Coulibaly 74'
  • yellowcard Woyo Coulibaly 74'
  • yellowcard Vasilios Zagaritis 85'
  • yellowcard Vasilios Zagaritis 85'
  • goal Marin Pongracic 90'+4' (OG)
  • goal Marin Pongracic 90'+4' (OG)
  • goal Dennis Man 90'+7'
  • goal Dennis Man 90'+7'
Serie B Gameweek 31
Parma
Mar 19, 2022 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Lecce
  • Gennaro Tutino 27' yellowcard
  • Danilo Larangeira 43' yellowcard
  • Elias Cobbaut 61' yellowcard
  • Franco Vazquez 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morten Hjulmand 27'
  • yellowcard Massimo Coda 36'
Serie B Gameweek 12
Lecce
Nov 7, 2021 1.00pm
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT
Parma
  • Massimo Coda 16' goal
  • Massimo Coda 31' goal
  • Fabio Lucioni 33' yellowcard
  • Espeto 37' goal
  • Massimo Coda 44' goal
  • Espeto 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maxime Busi 68'
Coppa Italia
Parma
Aug 15, 2021 5.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
Lecce
  • Juan Brunetta 7' goal
  • Simon Sohm 58' yellowcard
  • goal Massimo Coda 9'
  • yellowcard Valentin Gendrey 27'
  • goal Alessandro Tuia 40'
  • yellowcard Marco Olivieri 46'
  • goal Massimo Coda 76'
Serie A Gameweek 38
Lecce
Aug 2, 2020 7.45pm
3
4
HT : 2 2
FT Via del Mare
Parma
  • Antonin Barak 40' goal
  • Biagio Meccariello 45' goal
  • Gianluca Lapadula 68' goal
  • goal Fabio Lucioni 11' (OG)
  • goal Gianluca Caprari 24'
  • yellowcard Jasmin Kurtic 34'
  • yellowcard Bruno Alves 45'
  • goal Andreas Cornelius 52'
  • goal Roberto Inglese 66'

Form Data

AC Milan 3 - 2 Parma
Parma 1 - 1 Venezia
Genoa 1 - 0 Parma
Torino 0 - 0 Parma
Parma 2 - 1 Monza
Roma 5 - 0 Parma
Lecce 0 - 4 Inter Milan
Cagliari 4 - 1 Lecce
Empoli 1 - 3 Lecce
Lecce 0 - 0 Genoa
Como 2 - 0 Lecce
Lecce 1 - 2 Lazio