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Serie A
Cagliari logo
Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 9, 2025 at 2pm UK
Sardegna Arena
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Cagliari
2 - 1
Parma

Vogliacco (57' og.), Coman (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Leoni (78')
Camara (55'), Hernani (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Last Game: Cagliari 1-2 Lazio
Monday, February 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Parma

All competitions
Last Game: Parma 1-3 Lecce
Friday, January 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 3-2 Parma

 Neither side specialise in defending, so fans could be treated to another five-goal thriller, mirroring September's meeting in Parma. Cagliari can edge it, as their visitors have shown a certain mental frailty and often throw precious points away. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 47%. A win for Parma had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cagliari in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cagliari.

Result
CagliariDrawParma
47% (0.223 0.22) 24.29% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 28.7% (-0.206 -0.21)
Both teams to score 57.22% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.93% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)45.06% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.59% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)67.41% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.71% (0.072000000000003 0.07)19.29% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.96% (0.118 0.12)51.03% (-0.12 -0.12)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.89% (-0.16800000000001 -0.17)29.1% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.97% (-0.206 -0.21)65.02% (0.206 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 47%
    Parma 28.7%
    Draw 24.29%
CagliariDrawParma
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.24% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.6% (0.049 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.15% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 47%
1-1 @ 11.4%
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.29%
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 28.7%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Parma

Cagliari
64.9%
Draw
24.3%
Parma
10.8%
37
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Parma
2-3
Cagliari
Man (62'), Hernani (87' pen.)
Bernabe (25'), Coulibaly (48'), Haj Mohamed (90+1')
Zortea (34'), Marin (75'), Piccoli (87')
Obert (53'), Piccoli (90')
> Preview
Jun 3, 2023 7.30pm
Parma
0-0
Cagliari
Osorio (61'), Zanimacchia (64')
Dossena (41'), Radunovic (90'), Goldaniga (90+1'), Viola (90+5')
> Preview
May 30, 2023 7.30pm
Cagliari
3-2
Parma
Luvumbo (68', 89'), Lapadula (85' pen.)
Benedyczak (10'), Sohm (26')
Estevez (29'), Vazquez (62'), Chichizola (65'), Mihaila (72'), Man (90+1')
> Preview
Apr 22, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 34
Parma
2-1
Cagliari
Vazquez (62' pen.), Man (77')
Lapadula (32')
Dec 3, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 15
Cagliari
1-1
Parma
Pavoletti (54')
Camara (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan29197365273864
2Napoli29187445232261
3Atalanta BCAtalanta29177563283558
4Bologna291411449341553
5Juventus291313345281752
6Lazio2915685041951
7Roma29147844301449
8Fiorentina29146946301648
9AC Milan29138844331147
10Udinese29117113539-440
11Torino2991193434038
12Genoa29811102837-935
13Como2978143546-1129
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2992182958-2929
15CagliariCagliari2968152844-1626
16Parma29510143549-1425
17Lecce2967162148-2725
18Empoli29410152346-2322
19VeneziaVenezia29311152342-1920
20Monza2929182449-2515
> Serie A Full Table


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