Serie A Gameweek 23
Cagliari
Feb 3, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Sardegna Arena
Lazio
  • Roberto Piccoli 55' goal
  • goal 17'
  • goal Mattia Zaccagni 41'
  • goal Valentin Castellanos 64'

Cagliari vs Lazio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2025 7.45pm
Torino 2 - 0 Cagliari
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Roberto Piccoli

Lazio

All competitions
Last game
Jan 26, 2025 7.45pm
Lazio 1 - 2 Fiorentina
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Valentin Castellanos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 54.45%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 21.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result

Cagliari 21.54% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 24% ▲ (+0.33)
Lazio 54.45% ▼ (-0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.9% ▼ (-1.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.04% ▼ (-1.52)
Under 2.5 49.96% ▲ (+1.52)
Over 3.5 28.05% ▼ (-1.37)
Under 3.5 71.94% ▲ (+1.37)
Over 4.5 13.35% ▼ (-0.93)
Under 4.5 86.65% ▲ (+0.93)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 62.25% ▼ (-1.00)
Under 0.5 37.74% ▲ (+1.00)
Over 1.5 25.48% ▼ (-0.99)
Under 1.5 74.52% ▲ (+0.99)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5 81.75% ▼ (-0.64)
Under 0.5 18.24% ▲ (+0.64)
Over 1.5 50.72% ▼ (-1.09)
Under 1.5 49.28% ▲ (+1.09)

Score analysis

Cagliari 21.54%
Draw 23.99%
Lazio 54.45%
Cagliari
1-0 @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.24)
2-1 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.10)
3-0 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 21.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41% ▲ (+0.17)
0-0 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.42)
2-2 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.99%
Lazio
0-1 @ 11.71% ▲ (+0.49)
0-2 @ 9.97% ▲ (+0.21)
1-2 @ 9.71% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.15)
2-3 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.15)
0-4 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.12)
2-4 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 54.45%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 11
Lazio
Nov 4, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
Cagliari
  • Boulaye Dia 2' goal
  • Tijanni Noslin 25' yellowcard
  • Manuel Lazzari 61' yellowcard
  • Mattia Zaccagni 76' goal
  • Nicolo Rovella 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ndary Adopo 9'
  • yellowcard Tommaso Augello 17'
  • yellowcard Yerry Mina 29'
  • goal Zito Luvumbo 41'
  • yellowcard Gabriele Zappa 49'
  • yellowcard Zito Luvumbo 64'
  • yellowcard Sebastiano Luperto 74'
  • redcard Ndary Adopo 78'
  • redcard Yerry Mina 78'
Serie A Gameweek 24
Cagliari
Feb 10, 2024 2.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Sardegna Arena
Lazio
  • Gianluca Gaetano 51' goal
  • Antoine Makoumbou 52' yellowcard
  • Simone Aresti 90'+5' redcard
  • goal Alessandro Deiola 26' (OG)
  • yellowcard Ciro Immobile 45'+1'
  • goal Ciro Immobile 49'
  • goal Felipe Anderson 65'
  • yellowcard Alessio Romagnoli 67'
  • yellowcard Matias Vecino 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 14
Lazio
Dec 2, 2023 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
Cagliari
  • Pedro 8' goal
  • yellowcard Pantelis Hatzidiakos 12'
  • redcard Antoine Makoumbou 27'
  • yellowcard Nahitan Nandez 75'
Serie A Gameweek 28
Cagliari
Mar 5, 2022 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Lazio
  • Giorgio Altare 18' yellowcard
  • Razvan Marin 75' yellowcard
  • Matteo Lovato 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Ciro Immobile 19'
  • goal Luis Alberto 42'
  • goal Felipe Anderson 62'
  • yellowcard Adam Marusic 71'
  • redcard Adam Marusic 89'
Serie A Gameweek 4
Lazio
Sep 19, 2021 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Cagliari
  • Luiz Felipe 42' yellowcard
  • Ciro Immobile 45' goal
  • Danilo Cataldi 83' goal
  • yellowcard Martin Caceres 6'
  • goal Joao Pedro 46'
  • yellowcard Gabriele Zappa 61'
  • goal Keita Balde 62'
  • yellowcard Walter Mazzarri 83'
  • redcard Gabriele Zappa 90'+4'
Serie A Gameweek 21
Lazio
Feb 7, 2021 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Cagliari
  • Ciro Immobile 61' goal
  • Joaquin Correa 69' yellowcard
  • Simone Inzaghi 87' yellowcard
  • Marco Parolo 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nahitan Nandez 31'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 82'

Form Data

Torino 2 - 0 Cagliari
Cagliari 4 - 1 Lecce
AC Milan 1 - 1 Cagliari
Monza 1 - 2 Cagliari
Cagliari 0 - 3 Inter Milan
Venezia 2 - 1 Cagliari
Braga 1 - 0 Lazio
Lazio 1 - 2 Fiorentina
Lazio 3 - 1 Real Sociedad
Hellas Verona 0 - 3 Lazio
Lazio 1 - 1 Como
Roma 2 - 0 Lazio