Serie A | Gameweek 22
Jan 24, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Torino2 - 0Cagliari
We said: Torino 2-1 Cagliari
Torino's form has been anything but convincing over the past few months, but on the back of two impressive results against difficult opponents, they are showing promising signs again, and a win here will move them clear of relegation trouble. Despite an emphatic win over Lecce last weekend, Cagliari flattered to deceive for 60 minutes, and were aided by a red card, with this fixture set to pose much more of a challenge to Nicola and his players. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 46.11%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 25.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torino | Draw | Cagliari |
46.11% ( -0.01) | 27.9% ( 0) | 25.99% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.48% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
