Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 46.11%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 25.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torino | Draw | Cagliari |
| 46.11% ( | 27.9% ( | 25.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.33% ( | 60.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.25% ( | 80.75% ( |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.64% ( | 26.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.5% ( | 61.5% ( |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.4% ( | 39.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.72% ( | 76.28% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Torino | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 13.91% 2-0 @ 9.28% ( 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 3-0 @ 4.13% ( 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 3-2 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 4-1 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 1.95% Total : 46.1% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 10.43% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.89% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 1-2 @ 5.97% ( 0-2 @ 4.48% ( 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.42% Total : 25.99% |