Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 46.11%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 25.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.