Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 16, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio de Sao Luis

Farense
0 - 1
Porto

Falcao (47'), Jorge (59'), Moreno Ojeda (63'), Njie (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Moura (48')
Perez (69'), Mario (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Farense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Farense 0-2 Nacional
Sunday, February 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 1-1 Roma
Thursday, February 13 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.71%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 8.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.39%) and 0-3 (10.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
SC Farense	Draw	Porto
8.47% ( -0.14)	15.82% ( -0.11)	75.71% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 43.82% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.56% (

0.03)

41.44% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.16% (

0.03)

63.84% (

-0.03)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.29% (

-0.31)

51.71% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.19% (

-0.2)

85.81% (

0.2)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.74% (

0.07)

9.26% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.71% (

0.16)

31.29% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

SC Farense 8.47%

Porto 75.7%

Draw 15.82%

SC Farense	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.8% Total : 8.47%	1-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.57% Total : 15.82%	0-2 @ 13.55% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 10.75% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 7.09% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 6.4% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 3.04% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 0-6 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.38% Total : 75.7%