Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.71%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 8.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.39%) and 0-3 (10.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.