Primeira Liga Gameweek 20
Sporting Lisbon
Feb 2, 2025 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
Farense
  • Ivan Fresneda 11' goal
  • Ousmane Diomande 26' goal
  • Ivan Fresneda 56' yellowcard
  • Conrad Harder 88' goal
  • goal Lucas Africo 45'+2'

Sporting Lisbon vs SC Farense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2025 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon 2 - 0 Nacional
Goals scored
88
Top scorer
Viktor Gyokeres

SC Farense

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2025 3.30pm
Farense 1 - 2 Rio Ave
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Dario Poveda

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 79.21%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 6.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.72%) and 1-0 (10.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.64%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result

Sporting Lisbon 79.21% ▼ (-0.44)
Draw 14% ▲ (+0.25)
SC Farense 6.79% ▲ (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.95% ▲ (+0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.84% ▼ (-0.39)
Under 2.5 39.16% ▲ (+0.39)
Over 3.5 38.51% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 3.5 61.49% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 4.5 20.96% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 4.5 79.04% ▲ (+0.32)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 92.09% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 0.5 7.91% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 1.5 72.01% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 1.5 27.98% ▲ (+0.47)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5 45.55% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 0.5 54.45% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 1.5 12.45% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 1.5 87.55% ▼ (-0.18)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 79.2%
Draw 14%
SC Farense 6.79%
Sporting Lisbon
2-0 @ 13.86%
3-0 @ 11.72% ▼ (-0.10)
1-0 @ 10.92% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.43% ▲ (+0.08)
4-0 @ 7.43% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 7.13% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.05)
5-0 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.11)
5-1 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.02)
6-0 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 79.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.12)
0-0 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 14%
SC Farense
0-1 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.07)
1-2 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 6.79%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 3
Farense
Aug 23, 2024 8.15pm
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio de Sao Luis
Sporting Lisbon
  • Claudio Falcao 14' yellowcard
  • Tomane 50' yellowcard
  • Marco Moreno Ojeda 51' yellowcard
  • Lucas Africo 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Braganca 10'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 27'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 41'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 66'
  • goal Lucas Africo 69' (OG)
  • goal Marcus Edwards 81'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Sporting Lisbon
Mar 3, 2024 6.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
Farense
  • Daniel Braganca 11' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 29' goal
  • Jeremiah St Juste 48' yellowcard
  • Pedro Goncalves 53' goal
  • yellowcard Fabricio Isidoro 22'
  • goal Bachir Belloumi 32'
  • yellowcard Zach Muscat 40'
  • yellowcard Ze Luis 45'+1'
  • goal Ze Luis 50'
Taca da Liga
Sporting Lisbon
Nov 2, 2023 8.15pm
4
2
HT : 2 0
FT CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
Farense
  • Matheus Reis 14' yellowcard
  • Viktor Gyokeres 24' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 28' goal
  • Nuno Santos 56' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 63' goal
  • goal Mattheus Oliveira 49'
  • goal Vitor Goncalves 79'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Farense
Sep 30, 2023 8.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio de Sao Luis
Sporting Lisbon
  • Goncalo Silva 18' redcard
  • Mattheus Oliveira 37' goal
  • Mattheus Oliveira 55' goal
  • Bachir Belloumi 58' yellowcard
  • Mattheus Oliveira 63' yellowcard
  • Ze Luis 85' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Velho 88' yellowcard
  • Artur Jorge 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 21'
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 35'
  • yellowcard Morten Hjulmand 36'
  • yellowcard Nuno Santos 53'
  • yellowcard Daniel Braganca 84'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Inacio 85'
  • yellowcard Pedro Goncalves 88'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 90'
  • yellowcard Hidemasa Morita 90'+4'
Taca da Liga
Sporting Lisbon
Nov 30, 2022 8.45pm
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade
Farense
  • Paulinho 20' goal
  • Paulinho 22' goal
  • Marcus Edwards 39' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 48' goal
  • Arthur 75' goal
  • Mateus Fernandes 85' goal
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Farense
Apr 16, 2021 9.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Sporting Lisbon
  • Ryan Gauld 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 35'
  • yellowcard Matheus Reis 40'
  • yellowcard Antonio Adan 86'

Form Data

Sporting Lisbon 1 - 1 Bologna
Sporting Lisbon 2 - 0 Nacional
RB Leipzig 2 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Rio Ave 0 - 3 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 1 Benfica
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 0 Porto
Farense 1 - 2 Rio Ave
Moreirense 0 - 0 Farense
Farense 1 - 3 Benfica
Santa Clara 0 - 0 Farense
Farense 2 - 2 Guimaraes
Famalicao 1 - 2 Farense