Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 77.2%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 8.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.3%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Nacional |
77.2% (![]() | 14.42% (![]() | 8.39% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.83% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.21% (![]() | 34.79% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.25% (![]() | 56.75% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.64% | 7.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.44% (![]() | 26.56% (![]() |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.71% (![]() | 47.29% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.3% (![]() | 82.7% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Nacional |
2-0 @ 11.84% (![]() 3-0 @ 10.3% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.08% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.87% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.72% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.72% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.03% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.14% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 3.07% Total : 77.19% | 1-1 @ 6.8% (![]() 0-0 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.32% ( ![]() Other @ 0.82% Total : 14.42% | 0-1 @ 2.61% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.26% Total : 8.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 57 | 16 | 41 | 51 |
2 | Benfica | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 46 | 16 | 30 | 44 |
3 | Porto | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 43 |
4 | Braga | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 40 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 35 |
6 | Casa Pia | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 29 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 27 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 24 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 34 | -12 | 24 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 22 |
14 | Nacional | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |