Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 25, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Jose Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 0
Nacional

Trincao (45+1'), Pedro Arnauth Barrocas Simoes (90')
Debast (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Abidi (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-1 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, January 22 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Nacional

All competitions

Last Game: Nacional 3-1 AVS
Sunday, January 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 77.2%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 8.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.3%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Nacional
77.2% ( -0.04)	14.42% ( 0.01)	8.39% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 48.83% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.21% (

0.05)

34.79% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.25% (

0.05)

56.75% (

-0.06)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.64%

7.36% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.44% (

26.56% (

-0.01)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.71% (

0.1)

47.29% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.3% (

0.07)

82.7% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 77.19%

Nacional 8.39%

Draw 14.42%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Nacional
2-0 @ 11.84% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.03% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.63% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.53% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 77.19%	1-1 @ 6.8% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 14.42%	0-1 @ 2.61% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 8.39%