Primeira Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Francisco Trincao 45'+1' goal
  • Joao Pedro Arnauth Barrocas Simoes 90' goal
  • Zeno Debast 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chiheb Abidi 18'

Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Jan 18, 2025 6.00pm
Rio Ave 0 - 3 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
88
Top scorer
Viktor Gyokeres

Nacional

All competitions
Last game
Jan 19, 2025 3.30pm
Nacional 3 - 1 AVS
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Daniel Penha

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 77.2%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 8.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.3%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result

Sporting Lisbon 77.2% (-0.05)
Draw 14.42% (+0.02)
Nacional 8.39% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.83% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.21% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 34.79% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 43.25% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 56.75% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 24.81% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 75.19% (-0.05)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 92.64%
Under 0.5 7.36% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 73.44% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 26.56% (-0.01)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 52.71% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 47.29% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 17.3% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 82.7% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 77.19%
Draw 14.42%
Nacional 8.39%
Sporting Lisbon
2-0 @ 11.84% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 10.3% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.08% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.87% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.72% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 6.72% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 5.03% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 3.51% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.63% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.89% (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.53% (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 77.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.8% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.48% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.32% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 14.42%
Nacional
0-1 @ 2.61% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 2.55% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 8.39%

Head to Head

Taca da Liga
Oct 29, 2024 8.15pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Morten Hjulmand 53' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 65' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 70' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Franca 45'+2'
  • goal Ruben Macedo 66'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 6.00pm
1
6
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio da Madeira
  • Nigel Thomas 36' goal
  • Ulisses 45'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 16'
  • goal Francisco Trincao 41'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 51'
  • goal Francisco Trincao 57'
  • goal Daniel Braganca 66'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 76'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Inacio 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 30
May 1, 2021 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Paulinho 31' yellowcard
  • Daniel Braganca 53' yellowcard
  • Zouhair Feddal 83' goal
  • Jovane Cabral 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Abdullahi Ibrahim Alhassan 22'
  • yellowcard Eber Bessa 57'
  • yellowcard Julio Cesar 65'
  • redcard Abdullahi Ibrahim Alhassan 66'
  • yellowcard Rui Correia 90'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 13
Jan 8, 2021 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ruben Micael 11' yellowcard
  • V. Simoes da Vinha 42' yellowcard
  • Nuno Borges 61' yellowcard
  • Ruben Freitas 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zouhair Feddal 27'
  • goal Nuno Santos 43'
  • yellowcard R. Amorim 57'
  • goal Jovane Cabral 90'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2019 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira))
  • Julio Cesar 62' yellowcard
  • Witi 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcos Acuna 7'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Gudelj 55'
  • goal Luiz Phellype 62'
  • yellowcard Jovane Cabral 65'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 13
Dec 16, 2018 8.00pm
5
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estádio José Alvalade (Lisboa)
  • Jeremy Mathieu 27' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Coates 32' yellowcard
  • Bas Dost 35' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 57' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fernandes 70' goal
  • Jeremy Mathieu 75' goal
  • Bas Dost 87' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 91' goal
  • goal Joao Camacho 6'
  • goal Aleksandar Palocevic 25'
  • yellowcard Felipe Lopes 73'
  • yellowcard Kalindi 85'
  • yellowcard Okacha Hamzaoui 86'