MX23RW : Saturday, February 8 07:15:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Nacional

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 0
Nacional

Trincao (45+1'), Pedro Arnauth Barrocas Simoes (90')
Debast (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Abidi (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-1 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, January 22 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Nacional 3-1 AVS
Sunday, January 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Nacional

Despite still finding their feet under new manager Borges, Sporting have shown encouraging form in the league recently, winning two of their last three matches, and this, coupled with the visitors' dismal away record, suggests a home victory is on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 77.2%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 8.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.3%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawNacional
77.2% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04) 14.42% (0.011000000000001 0.01) 8.39% (0.028 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.83% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.21% (0.046999999999997 0.05)34.79% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.25% (0.054000000000002 0.05)56.75% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.64%7.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.44% (0.0049999999999955 0)26.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.71% (0.1 0.1)47.29% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.3% (0.073999999999998 0.07)82.7% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 77.19%
    Nacional 8.39%
    Draw 14.42%
Sporting LisbonDrawNacional
2-0 @ 11.84% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 10.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.08% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 6.72% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 3.51% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.63% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.89% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.53% (-0.002 -0)
6-1 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 77.19%
1-1 @ 6.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.48% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.32% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 14.42%
0-1 @ 2.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 2.55% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 8.39%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional

Sporting Lisbon
85.7%
Draw
10.7%
Nacional
3.6%
28
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2024 8.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Sporting Lisbon
3-1
Nacional
Hjulmand (53'), Gyokeres (65' pen., 70')
Macedo (66')
Franca (45+2')
Aug 17, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 2
Nacional
1-6
Sporting Lisbon
Thomas (36')
Ulisses (45+2')
Goncalves (16'), Trincao (41', 57'), Gyokeres (51' pen., 76'), Braganca (66')
Inacio (90+2')
May 1, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 30
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Nacional
Feddal (83'), Cabral (90+2' pen.)
Paulinho (31'), Braganca (53')

Ibrahim Alhassan (22'), Bessa (57'), Cesar (65'), Correia (90+1')
Ibrahim Alhassan (66')
Jan 8, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 13
Nacional
0-2
Sporting Lisbon

Micael (11'), Simoes da Vinha (42'), Borges (61'), Freitas (69')
Santos (43'), Cabral (90')
Feddal (27'), Amorim (57')
Apr 19, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 30
Nacional
0-1
Sporting Lisbon

Cesar (62'), Witi (89')
Phellype (62')
Acuna (7'), Gudelj (55'), Cabral (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon21163257164151
2Benfica20142446163044
3Porto21134445182743
4Braga20124436201640
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2011272321235
6Casa Pia208662625130
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes207853025529
8Estoril PraiaEstoril207672431-727
9FamalicaoFamalicao205962224-224
10Rio AveRio Ave206682234-1224
11MoreirenseMoreirense206592328-523
12Gil Vicente205782330-722
13AroucaArouca2064101831-1322
14Nacional2054111728-1119
15AVS203981529-1418
16Estrela Amadora2045111833-1517
17SC FarenseFarense2036111328-1515
18BoavistaBoavista2026121334-2112


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