Champions League
Jan 22, 2025 5.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Benjamin Sesko 19' goal
  • Yussuf Poulsen 78' goal
  • David Raum 79' yellowcard
  • Maarten Vandevoordt 86' yellowcard
  • Willi Orban 87' yellowcard
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 75'

RB Leipzig vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 10, 2024 8.00pm
RB Leipzig 2 - 3 Aston Villa

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 10, 2024 8.00pm
Brugge 2 - 1 Sporting Lisbon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 50.63%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.6%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result

RB Leipzig 26.93% (+0.07)
Draw 22.44% (-0.01)
Sporting Lisbon 50.63% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.29% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.26% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 37.74% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 40.02% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 59.98% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 22.15% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 77.84% (-0.08)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 73.42% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 26.58% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 38.2% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 61.8% (-0.13)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 84.85% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 15.15% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 56.26% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 43.74% (-0.03)

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 26.93%
Draw 22.43%
Sporting Lisbon 50.63%
RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.67% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 5.34% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.54% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.95% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.56% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 26.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.06% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.3% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.75% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.43%
Sporting Lisbon
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.6% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 7.17% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 5.98% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.51% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.96% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.82%
0-4 @ 2.13% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.87% (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.06%
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 50.63%