Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 50.63%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.6%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.