Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 17

Jan 15, 2025 at 7.30pm UK

Mercedes-Benz-Arena

Stuttgart
2 - 1
RB Leipzig

Bruun Larsen (50'), Woltemade (60')
Undav (5'), Leweling (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sesko (10')
Sesko (20'), Orban (45+1'), Openda (70'), Raum (86'), Chadaille Bitshiabu (90+4')
Sesko (85'), Openda (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Augsburg 0-1 Stuttgart
Sunday, January 12 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, January 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 60.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 19.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 1-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stuttgart in this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	RB Leipzig
60.57% ( -0.2)	20.18% ( 0.02)	19.24% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 60.08% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.92% (

0.2)

36.08% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.81% (

0.22)

58.19% (

-0.22)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.41% (

0.01)

11.59% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.44% (

0.02)

36.56% (

-0.01)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.95% (

0.3)

32.05% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.48% (

0.34)

68.52% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 60.57%

RB Leipzig 19.25%

Draw 20.18%

Stuttgart	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.8% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.64% 5-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.56% Total : 60.57%	1-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.18%	1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 19.25%