Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 60.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 19.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 1-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stuttgart in this match.