Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 13

Dec 7, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Holstein-Stadion

Holstein Kiel
0 - 2
RB Leipzig

Gigovic (36'), Weiner (67'), Schulz (68'), Bernhardsson (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sesko (27'), Silva (69' pen.)
Openda (56'), Vermeeren (74'), Henrichs (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: St Pauli 3-1 Holstein Kiel
Friday, November 29 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-0 Frankfurt
Wednesday, December 4 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Holstein Kiel	Draw	RB Leipzig
27.59% ( -0.18)	22.83% ( 0.05)	49.57% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 61.47% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.93% (

-0.4)

39.07% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.6% (

-0.42)

61.39% (

0.42)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.19% (

-0.33)

26.81% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.9% (

-0.43)

62.1% (

0.44)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.99% (

-0.1)

16.01% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.67% (

-0.19)

45.33% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Holstein Kiel 27.59%

RB Leipzig 49.57%

Draw 22.82%

Holstein Kiel	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.72% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.17% Total : 27.59%	1-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.82%	1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.64% Total : 49.57%