Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Bayern
Dec 20, 2024 7.30pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT Allianz Arena
RB Leipzig
  • Jamal Musiala 1' goal
  • Dayot Upamecano 20' yellowcard
  • Konrad Laimer 25' goal
  • Joshua Kimmich 36' goal
  • Michael Olise 56' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 60' yellowcard
  • Konrad Laimer 64' yellowcard
  • Leroy Sane 75' goal
  • Alphonso Davies 78' goal
  • Joshua Kimmich 82' yellowcard
  • goal Benjamin Sesko 2'
  • yellowcard Xaver Schlager 26'
  • yellowcard Marco Rose 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Henrichs 59'

Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Dec 14, 2024 2.30pm
Mainz 2 - 1 Bayern
Goals scored
99
Top scorer
Harry Kane

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Dec 15, 2024 6.30pm
RB Leipzig 2 - 1 Frankfurt
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Benjamin Sesko

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.9%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 10.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 3-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result

Bayern Munich 74.9% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 14.94% ▼ (-0.02)
RB Leipzig 10.15% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.88% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.85% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 31.15% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 47.43% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 52.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 28.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 71.58% ▼ (-0.04)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 93% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 7% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 74.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 25.61% ▼ (-0.04)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 59.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 40.99%
Over 1.5 22.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 77.55%

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 74.9%
Draw 14.94%
RB Leipzig 10.15%
Bayern Munich
2-0 @ 10.14% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.05% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 8.02% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 74.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.8% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 14.94%
RB Leipzig
1-2 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 10.15%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 23
Bayern
Feb 24, 2024 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Arena
RB Leipzig
  • Aleksandar Pavlovic 37' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 56' goal
  • Matthijs de Ligt 59' yellowcard
  • Jamal Musiala 66' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Willi Orban 41'
  • yellowcard Xaver Schlager 67'
  • goal Benjamin Sesko 70'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Simakan 78'
Bundesliga Gameweek 6
RB Leipzig
Sep 30, 2023 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 4 0
FT Red Bull Arena
Bayern
  • Lois Openda 20' goal
  • Lois Openda 20' goal
  • Castello Lukeba 26' goal
  • Castello Lukeba 26' goal
  • Mohamed Simakan 54' yellowcard
  • Castello Lukeba 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harry Kane 38'
  • yellowcard Sven Ulreich 44'
  • yellowcard Dayot Upamecano 51'
  • goal Harry Kane 57'
  • goal Leroy Sane 70'
  • yellowcard Jamal Musiala 72'
  • yellowcard Mathys Tel 81'
DFL-Supercup
Bayern
Aug 12, 2023 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Allianz Arena
RB Leipzig
  • Benjamin Pavard 13' yellowcard
  • Dayot Upamecano 34' yellowcard
  • goal Dani Olmo 3'
  • goal Dani Olmo 44'
  • goal Dani Olmo 68'
  • yellowcard Dani Olmo 71'
Bundesliga Gameweek 33
Bayern
May 20, 2023 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
RB Leipzig
  • Serge Gnabry 25' goal
  • goal Konrad Laimer 64'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 76'
  • goal Dominik Szoboszlai 86'
Bundesliga Gameweek 16
RB Leipzig
Jan 20, 2023 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Bayern
  • Marcel Halstenberg 52' goal
  • goal Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 37'
DFL-Supercup
RB Leipzig
Jul 30, 2022 7.30pm
3
5
HT : 0 3
FT
Bayern
  • Mohamed Simakan 36' yellowcard
  • Marcel Halstenberg 59' goal
  • Christopher Nkunku 77' goal
  • Dani Olmo 89' goal
  • Lukas Klostermann 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Jamal Musiala 14'
  • goal Sadio Mane 31'
  • goal Benjamin Pavard 45'
  • yellowcard Joshua Kimmich 64'
  • goal Serge Gnabry 66'
  • yellowcard Lucas Hernandez 73'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Pavard 76'
  • yellowcard Leroy Sane 87'
  • yellowcard Manuel Neuer 90'+7'
  • goal Leroy Sane 90'+8'

Form Data

Mainz 2 - 1 Bayern
Shakhtar 1 - 5 Bayern
Bayern 4 - 2 Heidenheim
Bayern 0 - 1 B. Leverkusen
Dortmund 1 - 1 Bayern
Bayern 1 - 0 PSG
RB Leipzig 2 - 1 Frankfurt
RB Leipzig 2 - 3 Aston Villa
Holstein Kiel 0 - 2 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 3 - 0 Frankfurt
RB Leipzig 1 - 5 Wolfsburg
Inter Milan 1 - 0 RB Leipzig