Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 15

Dec 20, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
5 - 1
RB Leipzig

Musiala (1'), Laimer (25'), Kimmich (36'), Sane (75'), Davies (78')
Upamecano (20'), Olise (56'), Kane (60'), Laimer (64'), Kimmich (82')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Sesko (2')
Schlager (26'), Rose (45+1'), Henrichs (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Mainz 2-1 Bayern
Saturday, December 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-1 Frankfurt
Sunday, December 15 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.9%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 10.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 3-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	RB Leipzig
74.9% ( 0.03)	14.94% ( -0.02)	10.15% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 54.88% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.85% (

0.03)

31.15% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.43% (

0.04)

52.56% (

-0.04)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93% (

0.01)

7% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.39% (

0.03)

25.61% (

-0.03)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.01% (

-0)

40.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.45% (

77.55%

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 74.9%

RB Leipzig 10.15%

Draw 14.94%

Bayern Munich	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.99% ( 0) 3-1 @ 8.02% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.98% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.33% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.18% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.84% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.38% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.41% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.27% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 3.85% Total : 74.9%	1-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.87% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.17% Total : 14.94%	1-2 @ 3.03% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.56% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.14% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 1.32% Total : 10.15%