Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 14

Dec 14, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Mewa Arena

Mainz
2 - 1
Bayern

Jae-sung (41', 60')
Kohr (49'), Mwene (90'), Amiri (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sane (87')
Kimmich (78'), Laimer (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Wolfsburg 4-3 Mainz
Sunday, December 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Shakhtar 1-5 Bayern
Tuesday, December 10 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.53%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 13.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 1-3 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 2-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Bayern Munich
13.87% ( 0.63)	16.59% ( 0.24)	69.53% ( -0.87)

Both teams to score 61.38% (

0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.04% (

0.38)

28.95% (

-0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.08% (

0.47)

49.92% (

-0.47)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.38% (

1.12)

33.62% (

-1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.73% (

1.2)

70.26% (

-1.21)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.46% (

-0.08)

7.53% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.99% (

-0.2)

27.01% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 13.87%

Bayern Munich 69.53%

Draw 16.59%

Mainz 05	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.48% Total : 13.87%	1-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.31% Total : 16.59%	1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 7.96% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 7.3% ( -0.26) 0-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 5.14% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 4.72% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 2.8% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 2.66% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 2.44% ( -0.11) 2-5 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) 1-6 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) 0-6 @ 1.05% ( -0.05) 3-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.27% Total : 69.53%