Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 13

Dec 8, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

VOLKSWAGEN ARENA

Wolfsburg
4 - 3
Mainz

El Amine Amoura (19'), Tomas (57'), Wind (84', 90+4')
Baku (21'), Arnold (22'), Tomas (68')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Nebel (11', 66'), Burkardt (39')
Henriksen (27'), Amiri (43'), Jae-sung (45+2'), Kohr (56'), Leitsch (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Wolfsburg 3-0 Hoffenheim
Wednesday, December 4 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Mainz 05

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Mainz 2-0 Hoffenheim
Sunday, December 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	Mainz 05
41.05% ( -0.12)	25.1% ( -0.02)	33.85% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 56.94% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.48% (

0.14)

46.52% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.21% (

0.13)

68.8% (

-0.13)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.43%

22.57% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.84%

56.17% (

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.53% (

0.15)

26.47% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.35% (

0.2)

61.65% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 41.05%

Mainz 05 33.85%

Draw 25.1%

Wolfsburg	Draw	Mainz 05
1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 41.05%	1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.1%	0-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 33.85%