DFB-Pokal | Round of 16

Dec 4, 2024 at 5pm UK

VOLKSWAGEN ARENA

Wolfsburg
3 - 0
Hoffenheim

Vavro (63'), Wind (67'), Gerhardt (85')
Arnold (14'), Dardai (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kramaric (66'), Baumann (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Wolfsburg and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-5 Wolfsburg
Saturday, November 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Hoffenheim

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: Mainz 2-0 Hoffenheim
Sunday, December 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	Hoffenheim
39.44% ( 0.4)	24.53% ( 0.13)	36.02% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 59.39% (

-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.48% (

-0.65)

43.51% (

0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.09% (

-0.64)

65.91% (

0.63)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.95% (

-0.08)

22.04% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.62% (

-0.13)

55.37% (

0.12)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.18% (

-0.58)

23.81% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.01% (

-0.84)

57.98% (

0.84)

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 39.44%

Hoffenheim 36.02%

Draw 24.53%

Wolfsburg	Draw	Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 6% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 39.44%	1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.53%	1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.08% Total : 36.02%