Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Dec 1, 2024 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Mewa Arena
  • Jonathan Burkardt 4' goal
  • Phillipp Mwene 16' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Burkardt 24' goal
  • yellowcard Andrej Kramaric 28'
  • yellowcard Pavel Kaderabek 32'
  • yellowcard Anton Stach 47'

Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Nov 24, 2024 2.30pm
Holstein Kiel 0 - 3 Mainz
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Jonathan Burkardt

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last game
Nov 23, 2024 2.30pm
Hoffenheim 4 - 3 RB Leipzig
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Andrej Kramaric

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result

Mainz 05 41.25% (+0.52)
Draw 25.24% (+0.35)
Hoffenheim 33.5% (-0.87)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.35% (-1.44)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.76% (-1.77)
Under 2.5 47.24% (+1.77)
Over 3.5 30.53% (-1.67)
Under 3.5 69.47% (+1.67)
Over 4.5 15.04% (-1.18)
Under 4.5 84.96% (+1.18)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 77.22% (-0.52)
Under 0.5 22.78% (+0.52)
Over 1.5 43.52% (-0.77)
Under 1.5 56.48% (+0.77)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5 72.98% (-1.37)
Under 0.5 27.02% (+1.37)
Over 1.5 37.62% (-1.83)
Under 1.5 62.38% (+1.83)

Score analysis

Mainz 05 41.25%
Draw 25.24%
Hoffenheim 33.5%
Mainz 05
1-0 @ 9.11% (+0.53)
2-1 @ 8.81% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.74% (+0.30)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.32% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.15)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.23% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 41.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.91% (+0.25)
0-0 @ 6.16% (+0.45)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.20)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.24%
Hoffenheim
0-1 @ 8.06% (+0.29)
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.15)
0-2 @ 5.27% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.4% (-0.21)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.19)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.10)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.12)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 33.5%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Apr 13, 2024 2.30pm
4
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mewa Arena
  • Jonathan Burkardt 47' goal
  • Phillipp Mwene 51' goal
  • Brajan Gruda 63' goal
  • Karim Onisiwo 88' goal
  • goal Pavel Kaderabek 19'
  • yellowcard Grischa Promel 39'
  • yellowcard Ozan Kabak 83'
Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Nov 26, 2023 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT PreZero Arena
  • Andrej Kramaric 25' yellowcard
  • John Brooks 30' yellowcard
  • Ozan Kabak 32' yellowcard
  • Grischa Promel 44' yellowcard
  • Robert Skov 48' goal
  • yellowcard Edimilson Fernandes 25'
  • yellowcard Anthony Caci 29'
  • goal Marco Richter 39'
  • yellowcard Marco Richter 68'
  • yellowcard Phillipp Mwene 90'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 23
Mar 4, 2023 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Leandro Barreiro 33' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 6
Sep 10, 2022 2.30pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Andrej Kramaric 53' goal
  • Grischa Promel 69' goal
  • Moanes Dabour 80' goal
  • Pavel Kaderabek 90'+2' goal
  • goal Dominik Kohr 83'
Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 5, 2022 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lee Jae-sung 79' goal
  • Moussa Niakhate 83' goal
  • yellowcard Benjamin Hubner 17'
  • yellowcard Georginio Rutter 74'
Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Mijat Gacinovic 39' yellowcard
  • Kevin Vogt 70' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 21'
  • goal Marcus Ingvartsen 77'
  • yellowcard Alexander Hack 86'