Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.