Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 16

Jan 12, 2025 at 4.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
0 - 1
Stuttgart

Onyeka (15'), Jakic (45+1'), Matsima (67'), Gouweleeuw (73'), Rexhbecaj (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Undav (65')
Chabot (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 5-1 Augsburg
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, January 5 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	Stuttgart
30.53% ( 0.15)	23.51% ( 0.08)	45.96% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 61.14% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.59% (

-0.32)

40.41% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.21% (

-0.33)

62.79% (

0.33)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.45% (

-0.07)

25.55% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.59% (

-0.09)

60.41% (

0.09)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.12% (

-0.22)

17.87% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.35% (

-0.37)

48.65% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Augsburg 30.53%

Stuttgart 45.96%

Draw 23.5%

Augsburg	Draw	Stuttgart
2-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.53%	1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.5%	1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.77% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.3% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.78% Total : 45.96%