Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 15

Dec 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Holstein-Stadion

Holstein Kiel
5 - 1
Augsburg

Rosenboom (12'), Harres (32', 35'), Machino (39', 90+1')
Rapp (31')

FT(HT: 4-1)

Claude-Maurice (5')
Wolf (29'), Giannoulis (68'), Vargas (83'), Mounie (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 4-1 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, December 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Augsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Augsburg 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, December 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.22%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Holstein Kiel	Draw	Augsburg
34.5% ( 0.69)	23.63% ( -0.12)	41.87% ( -0.57)

Both teams to score 62.39% (

0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.51% (

0.77)

39.49% (

-0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.17% (

0.8)

61.83% (

-0.8)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.22% (

0.74)

22.78% (

-0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.52% (

1.09)

56.48% (

-1.08)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.8% (

0.07)

19.2% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.11% (

0.12)

50.89% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Holstein Kiel 34.5%

Augsburg 41.87%

Draw 23.63%

Holstein Kiel	Draw	Augsburg
2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.25% Total : 34.5%	1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.63%	1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 2% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.35% Total : 41.87%