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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
| 52.63% ( | 22.5% ( | 24.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 60% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.15% ( | 39.85% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.79% ( | 62.21% ( |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.77% ( | 15.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.11% ( | 43.89% ( |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.78% ( | 29.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.83% ( | 65.17% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 1-0 @ 8.37% ( 2-0 @ 7.88% ( 3-1 @ 6.08% ( 3-0 @ 4.94% ( 3-2 @ 3.74% ( 4-1 @ 2.86% ( 4-0 @ 2.33% ( 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 5-1 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 3.88% Total : 52.63% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 3-3 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.49% | 1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0-1 @ 5.47% ( 0-2 @ 3.37% ( 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 2-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 3.27% Total : 24.88% |