Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.34%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.