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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.34%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 47.67% ( | 22.12% ( | 30.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.2% ( | 33.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.36% ( | 55.64% ( |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.28% ( | 14.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.07% ( | 42.93% ( |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.53% ( | 22.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.98% ( | 56.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 1-0 @ 6.34% ( 2-0 @ 6.07% 3-1 @ 5.79% ( 3-2 @ 4.32% ( 3-0 @ 3.88% ( 4-1 @ 2.77% ( 4-2 @ 2.07% ( 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 4-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 3.41% Total : 47.67% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( 2-2 @ 6.77% ( 0-0 @ 3.31% ( 3-3 @ 2.15% ( Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.12% | 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0-1 @ 4.94% ( 0-2 @ 3.69% ( 1-3 @ 3.52% ( 2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0-3 @ 1.84% ( 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 2-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.24% Total : 30.22% |