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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.81%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
40.05% (![]() | 23.51% (![]() | 36.44% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.27% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.5% (![]() | 38.5% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.21% (![]() | 60.79% (![]() |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.41% (![]() | 19.59% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.47% (![]() | 51.53% (![]() |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.68% (![]() | 21.32% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.73% (![]() | 54.26% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 8.58% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.81% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.55% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.47% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 3.25% Total : 40.05% | 1-1 @ 10.52% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.63% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.18% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.86% ( ![]() Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 8.13% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.46% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.99% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.19% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.42% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.75% Total : 36.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 75 | 24 | 51 | 62 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 59 | 33 | 26 | 56 |
3 | Mainz 05Mainz | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 45 |
4 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 45 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 42 |
6 | Freiburg | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 42 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 40 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 38 |
9 | Augsburg | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 38 |
10 | Stuttgart | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 33 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 26 |
15 | St Pauli | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 25 |
16 | Heidenheim | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 19 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 53 | -27 | 18 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 38 | 64 | -26 | 17 |
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