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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Dec 7, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
Dortmund logo

Borussia M'bach
1 - 1
Dortmund

Stoger (71' pen.)
Weigl (30'), Cvancara (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bynoe-Gittens (65')
Schlotterbeck (47'), Gross (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 Bayern
Saturday, November 30 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.81%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBorussia Dortmund
40.05% (-0.175 -0.17)23.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)36.44% (0.186 0.19)
Both teams to score 63.27% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.5% (0.072000000000003 0.07)38.5% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.21% (0.076000000000001 0.08)60.79% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.41% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)19.59% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.47% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)51.53% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.68% (0.125 0.13)21.32% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.73% (0.195 0.2)54.26% (-0.195 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 40.05%
    Borussia Dortmund 36.44%
    Draw 23.5%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.81% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.55% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.02% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 40.05%
1-1 @ 10.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.63% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.86% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.5%
1-2 @ 8.13% (0.022 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.99% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.19% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.42% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.57% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.62% (0.016 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.32% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 36.44%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs Dortmund

Borussia Monchengladbach
26.2%
Draw
30.8%
Borussia Dortmund
43.0%
107
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
Borussia M'bach
1-2
Dortmund
Wober (36')
Itakura (84')
Sabitzer (22', 28')
Maatsen (14'), Adeyemi (45+4'), Nmecha (90+4')
Adeyemi (55')
Nov 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Dortmund
4-2
Borussia M'bach
Sabitzer (30'), Fullkrug (32'), Bynoe-Gittens (45'), Malen (90+7')
Brandt (80')
Reitz (13'), Kone (28')
Weigl (54'), Kone (87')
May 13, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Dortmund
5-2
Borussia M'bach
Malen (5'), Bellingham (18' pen.), Haller (20', 32'), Reyna (90+4')
Bensebaini (75' pen.), Stindl (85')
Bensebaini (77'), Kramer (90+4')
Nov 11, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 15
Borussia M'bach
4-2
Dortmund
Hofmann (4'), Bensebaini (26'), Thuram (30'), Kone (46')
Brandt (19'), Schlotterbeck (40')
Feb 20, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 23
Dortmund
6-0
Borussia M'bach
Reus (26', 82'), Malen (32'), Wolf (70'), Moukoko (74'), Can (90+1' pen.)
Zagadou (12'), Dahoud (35')

Bensebaini (14')