Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 16

Jan 12, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
4 - 2
Werder Bremen

Simons (24', 35'), Sesko (47'), Baumgartner (90')
Haidara (82')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Weiser (26'), Burke (90+3')
Friedl (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 5-1 RB Leipzig
Friday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Werder Bremen 4-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 48.42%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Werder Bremen
48.42% ( 0.89)	23% ( -0.21)	28.58% ( -0.68)

Both teams to score 61.68% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.85% (

0.55)

39.14% (

-0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.52% (

0.58)

61.47% (

-0.58)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.55% (

0.54)

16.45% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.86% (

0.97)

46.14% (

-0.97)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.82% (

-0.17)

26.17% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.74% (

-0.23)

61.26% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 48.42%

Werder Bremen 28.58%

Draw 22.99%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.48% Total : 48.42%	1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.99%	1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 28.58%