Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 15

Dec 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)

Werder Bremen
4 - 1
Union Berlin

Grull (13', 17'), Weiser (45'), Stage (87')
Friedl (19'), Burke (90+4')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Schafer (23')
Doekhi (5'), Khedira (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: St Pauli 0-2 Werder Bremen
Saturday, December 14 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Union Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Union Berlin 1-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, December 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result
Werder Bremen	Draw	Union Berlin
40.99% ( -0.11)	26.53% ( -0.05)	32.47% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 51.79% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.02% (

0.23)

52.98% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.42% (

0.19)

74.58% (

-0.19)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.53% (

0.04)

25.47% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.69% (

0.06)

60.3% (

-0.06)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.49% (

0.22)

30.51% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.27% (

0.26)

66.73% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Werder Bremen 40.98%

Union Berlin 32.48%

Draw 26.53%

Werder Bremen	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 40.98%	1-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.53%	0-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.48%