Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.