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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 38.79% ( | 24.31% ( | 36.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.62% ( | 42.38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.21% ( | 64.79% ( |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% ( | 21.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.89% ( | 55.11% ( |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.17% ( | 22.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.44% ( | 56.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| VfL Bochum | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 1-0 @ 7.59% ( 2-0 @ 5.77% ( 3-1 @ 4.32% ( 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 3-0 @ 2.92% ( 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 4-0 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 38.79% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 3-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.31% | 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0-1 @ 7.38% ( 0-2 @ 5.45% ( 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.3% Total : 36.9% |