Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Mainz
Jan 11, 2025 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mewa Arena
VfL Bochum
  • Jonathan Burkardt 23' goal
  • Jonathan Burkardt 69' goal
  • yellowcard Philipp Hofmann 33'
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Sissoko 45'+7'

Mainz 05 vs VfL Bochum - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Dec 21, 2024 2.30pm
Frankfurt 1 - 3 Mainz
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Jonathan Burkardt

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Last game
Dec 22, 2024 2.30pm
VfL Bochum 2 - 0 Heidenheim
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Myron Boadu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 49.15%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result

Mainz 05 49.15% ▼ (-0.21)
Draw 23.85% ▲ (+0.06)
VfL Bochum 27% ▲ (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.4% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.78% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 44.22% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 33.4% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 66.6% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 4.5 17.09% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 4.5 82.91% ▲ (+0.10)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 81.9% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 18.1% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 1.5 50.96% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 49.04% ▲ (+0.23)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5 70.09% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 29.91% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 33.99% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 66.01% ▼ (-0.06)

Score analysis

Mainz 05 49.15%
Draw 23.84%
VfL Bochum 27%
Mainz 05
2-1 @ 9.55% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.25% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.91% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 49.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.16% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.76%
0-0 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.84%
VfL Bochum
1-2 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 27%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Mainz
Mar 16, 2024 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mewa Arena
VfL Bochum
  • Dominik Kohr 1' yellowcard
  • Ludovic Ajorque 8' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Burkardt 45'+3' goal
  • Jonathan Burkardt 71' goal
  • Sepp van den Berg 84' yellowcard
  • Nadiem Amiri 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bernardo 33'
  • yellowcard Patrick Osterhage 47'
  • yellowcard Keven Schlotterbeck 86'
Bundesliga Gameweek 9
VfL Bochum
Oct 27, 2023 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Vonovia Ruhrstadion
Mainz
  • Kevin Stoger 21' goal
  • Bernardo 51' yellowcard
  • Keven Schlotterbeck 82' goal
  • Goncalo Paciencia 88' yellowcard
  • Anthony Losilla 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Barreiro 15'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 20'
  • goal Keven Schlotterbeck 59' (OG)
  • yellowcard Lee Jae-sung 71'
  • goal Tom Krauss 90'+6'
Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Mainz
Jan 28, 2023 2.30pm
5
2
HT : 3 0
FT
VfL Bochum
  • Lee Jae-sung 1' goal
  • Silvan Widmer 17' goal
  • Karim Onisiwo 28' goal
  • Karim Onisiwo 57' goal
  • Karim Onisiwo 87' goal
  • goal Pierre Kunde 70'
  • goal Erhan Masovic 72'
Bundesliga Gameweek 1
VfL Bochum
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Mainz
  • Kostas Stafylidis 13' yellowcard
  • Kevin Stoger 39' goal
  • Silvere Ganvoula 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Karim Onisiwo 26'
  • yellowcard Anton Stach 33'
  • yellowcard Stefan Bell 64'
  • goal Karim Onisiwo 77'
  • yellowcard Delano Burgzorg 84'
DFB-Pokal
VfL Bochum
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Mainz
  • Milos Pantovic 56' goal
  • Milos Pantovic 59' goal
  • Eduard Lowen 80' goal
  • yellowcard Lee Jae-sung 14'
  • goal Karim Onisiwo 36'
  • yellowcard Leandro Barreiro 55'
  • yellowcard Stefan Bell 65'
  • yellowcard Anton Stach 75'
Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Mainz
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
VfL Bochum
  • Jeremiah St Juste 48' goal
  • Anton Stach 55' yellowcard
  • Kevin Stoger 85' yellowcard
  • Paul Nebel 86' yellowcard
  • Bo Svensson 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Armel Bella-Kotchap 70'
  • yellowcard Cristian Gamboa 76'
  • yellowcard Elvis Rexhbecaj 89'

Form Data

Frankfurt 1 - 3 Mainz
Mainz 2 - 1 Bayern
Wolfsburg 4 - 3 Mainz
Mainz 2 - 0 Hoffenheim
Holstein Kiel 0 - 3 Mainz
Mainz 3 - 1 Dortmund
VfL Bochum 2 - 0 Heidenheim
Union Berlin 1 - 1 VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum 0 - 1 Werder Bremen
Augsburg 1 - 0 VfL Bochum
Stuttgart 2 - 0 VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum 1 - 1 B. Leverkusen