Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 16

Jan 11, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Mewa Arena

Mainz
2 - 0
VfL Bochum

Burkardt (23', 69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hofmann (33'), Sissoko (45+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions

Last Game: Frankfurt 1-3 Mainz
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-0 Heidenheim
Sunday, December 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 49.15%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	VfL Bochum
49.15% ( -0.21)	23.85% ( 0.05)	27% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 57.4% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.78% (

-0.13)

44.22% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.4% (

-0.12)

66.6% (

0.13)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.9% (

-0.13)

18.1% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.96% (

-0.22)

49.04% (

0.22)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.09% (

0.05)

29.91% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.99% (

0.06)

66.01% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 49.15%

VfL Bochum 27%

Draw 23.84%

Mainz 05	Draw	VfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.57% Total : 49.15%	1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.76% 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.84%	1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.17% Total : 27%