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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main)
Mainz logo

Frankfurt
1 - 3
Mainz

Kristensen (75')
Bahoya (65')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Morais Vieira dos Santos (15' og.), Nebel (27', 58')
Mwene (11')
Amiri (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 2-1 Bayern
Saturday, December 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 54.07%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawMainz 05
54.07% (0.26 0.26)22.21% (-0.121 -0.12)23.72% (-0.144 -0.14)
Both teams to score 59.65% (0.247 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.3% (0.405 0.41)39.7% (-0.41 -0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.94% (0.419 0.42)62.05% (-0.425 -0.43)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.3% (0.22500000000001 0.23)14.69% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.13% (0.432 0.43)42.87% (-0.437 -0.44)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.93% (0.10300000000001 0.1)30.07% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.79% (0.125 0.13)66.2% (-0.13 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 54.07%
    Mainz 05 23.72%
    Draw 22.2%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.47% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.13% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.24% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.19% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.75% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.99% (0.048 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.49% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 54.07%
1-1 @ 10.18% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.42% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.2%
1-2 @ 6.12% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.31% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.19% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 23.72%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Mainz

Eintracht Frankfurt
59.0%
Draw
27.9%
Mainz 05
13.1%
61
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 19
Frankfurt
1-0
Mainz
Gotze (72')
Pacho (24'), Nkounkou (34')

Widmer (40')
Aug 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Mainz
1-1
Frankfurt
Jae-sung (25')
Fernandes (55'), Kohr (75'), van den Berg (86')
Marmoush (90+1')
Koch (32'), Toppmoller (33'), Knauff (49'), Marmoush (90+2'), Svensson (90+6')
Knauff (61')
May 13, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Frankfurt
3-0
Mainz
Kamada (18' pen.), Buta (40'), Kolo (59')
Tuta (30')

Bell (22'), Hanche-Olsen (38'), Shabani (88')
Nov 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Mainz
1-1
Frankfurt
Burkardt (40')
Kolo (67')
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Mainz
2-2
Frankfurt
Ingvartsen (10', 49')
Caricol (51'), Bell (56')
Tuta (26'), Borre (35')
rhs 2.0


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