Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 17

Jan 15, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Vonovia Ruhrstadion

VfL Bochum
1 - 0
St Pauli

Hofmann (66')
Holtmann (42')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Smith (69'), Irvine (72'), Afolayan (80')
Dzwigala (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Last Game: Mainz 2-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, January 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

St Pauli

All competitions

Last Game: St Pauli 0-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, January 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (5.63%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.

Result
VfL Bochum	Draw	St Pauli
39.38% ( -0.83)	23.86% ( 0.09)	36.76% ( 0.74)

Both teams to score 61.96% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.79% (

-0.36)

40.21% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.42% (

-0.37)

62.58% (

0.37)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.36% (

-0.54)

20.64% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.79% (

-0.86)

53.21% (

0.86)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.08% (

0.22)

21.92% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.81% (

0.33)

55.19% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

VfL Bochum 39.38%

St Pauli 36.76%

Draw 23.85%

VfL Bochum	Draw	St Pauli
2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.14% 2-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.9% Total : 39.38%	1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.85%	1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.56% Total : 36.76%