Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 16

Jan 11, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli
0 - 1
Frankfurt

FT(HT: 0-1)

Marmoush (32')
Koch (26'), Collins (61'), Kristensen (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions

Last Game: Stuttgart 0-1 St Pauli
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Frankfurt 1-3 Mainz
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (5.86%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
St Pauli	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt
37.03% ( 0.13)	24.67% ( 0.02)	38.3% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 58.95% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.87% (

-0.11)

44.13% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.49% (

-0.1)

66.51% (

0.1)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.45% (

0.02)

23.55% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.39% (

0.03)

57.61% (

-0.03)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.11% (

-0.13)

22.89% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.36% (

-0.19)

56.64% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

St Pauli 37.03%

Eintracht Frankfurt 38.3%

Draw 24.67%

St Pauli	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.12% Total : 37.03%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.67%	1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.3%