Champions League
Jan 29, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Zeno Debast 43' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro Arnauth Barrocas Simoes 66' yellowcard
  • Conrad Harder 77' goal
  • Morten Hjulmand 87' yellowcard
  • Geovany Tcherno Quenda 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Tommaso Pobega 21'
  • yellowcard Emil Holm 22'
  • yellowcard Sam Beukema 42'
  • yellowcard Samuel Iling-Junior 44'
  • yellowcard Charalampos Lykogiannis 56'
  • yellowcard Martin Erlic 72'

Sporting Lisbon vs Bologna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 22, 2025 5.45pm
RB Leipzig 2 - 1 Sporting Lisbon

Bologna

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 21, 2025 8.00pm
Bologna 2 - 1 Dortmund

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 66.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 14.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result

Sporting Lisbon 66.33% (+3.40)
Draw 19.48% (-1.28)
Bologna 14.19% (-2.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.12% (-0.89)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.6% (+1.45)
Under 2.5 42.4% (-1.44)
Over 3.5 35.2% (+1.43)
Under 3.5 64.8% (-1.43)
Over 4.5 18.41% (+1.06)
Under 4.5 81.59% (-1.06)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 88.1% (+1.41)
Under 0.5 11.91% (-1.41)
Over 1.5 62.76% (+2.91)
Under 1.5 37.24% (-2.91)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5 58.03% (-1.96)
Under 0.5 41.97% (+1.96)
Over 1.5 21.59% (-1.75)
Under 1.5 78.41% (+1.75)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 66.33%
Draw 19.48%
Bologna 14.19%
Sporting Lisbon
2-0 @ 11.31% (+0.49)
1-0 @ 10.63% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 8.03% (+0.75)
3-1 @ 6.97% (+0.31)
4-0 @ 4.27% (+0.61)
4-1 @ 3.71% (+0.35)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.82% (+0.34)
4-2 @ 1.61% (+0.08)
5-1 @ 1.58% (+0.23)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 66.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.23% (-0.61)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.33)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.28)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 19.48%
Bologna
0-1 @ 4.34% (-0.54)
1-2 @ 4.01% (-0.50)
0-2 @ 1.88% (-0.36)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.16)
1-3 @ 1.16% (-0.22)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 14.19%