Champions League

Champions League | League Stage

Jan 21, 2025 at 8pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
2 - 1
Dortmund

Dallinga (71'), Iling-Junior (72')
Holm (13'), Freuler (19'), Lucumi (60'), Adeyemi (90+6'), Ferguson (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Guirassy (15' pen.)
Beier (62'), Adeyemi (81'), Couto (82'), Ryerson (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bologna and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Bologna 3-1 Monza
Saturday, January 18 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Dortmund
Friday, January 17 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
43.62% ( -0)	25.13% ( 0.01)	31.26% ( 0)

Both teams to score 55.89% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.54% (

-0.02)

47.46% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.33% (

-0.02)

69.68% (

0.02)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.25% (

-0.01)

21.75% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.06% (

-0.02)

54.94% (

0.02)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.44% (

-0.01)

28.57% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.64% (

-0.01)

64.36% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Bologna 43.62%

Borussia Dortmund 31.26%

Draw 25.12%

Bologna	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 43.62%	1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.12%	0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.66% Total : 31.26%