Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 15

Dec 22, 2024 at 4.30pm UK

VOLKSWAGEN ARENA

Wolfsburg
1 - 3
Dortmund

Vavro (58')
Koulierakis (50'), Gerhardt (55'), Vavro (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Malen (25'), Beier (28'), Brandt (30')
Malen (63'), Malen (70'), Couto (90+4')
Gross (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Wolfsburg
Friday, December 13 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 Hoffenheim
Sunday, December 15 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
32.34% ( -0.17)	23.56% ( -0.06)	44.09% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 61.89% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.17% (

0.24)

39.82% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.82% (

0.25)

62.18% (

-0.25)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.84% (

0.02)

24.15% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.52% (

0.03)

58.47% (

-0.03)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.6% (

0.19)

18.4% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.45% (

0.33)

49.54% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 32.34%

Borussia Dortmund 44.09%

Draw 23.55%

Wolfsburg	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.34%	1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.55%	1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.11% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.61% Total : 44.09%