/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwollog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flogdor.png)
-
Konstantinos Koulierakis
50'
-
Yannick Gerhardt
55'
-
Denis Vavro
58'
-
Denis Vavro
90'+4'
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Donyell Malen
25'
-
Maximilian Beier
28'
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Julian Brandt
30'
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Pascal Gross
62'
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Donyell Malen
63'
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Donyell Malen
70'
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Yan Couto
90'+4'
Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F51%2Fnuri-sahin.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result
Wolfsburg
32.34%
▼
(-0.17)
Draw
23.56%
▼
(-0.07)
Borussia Dortmund
44.09%
▲
(+0.24)
Both Teams to Score:
61.89%
▲
(+0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.17%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 2.5
39.82%
▼
(-0.25)
Over 3.5
37.82%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 3.5
62.18%
▼
(-0.25)
Over 4.5
20.41%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 4.5
79.58%
▼
(-0.20)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5
75.84%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
24.15%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
41.52%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
58.47%
▼
(-0.03)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5
81.6%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 0.5
18.4%
▼
(-0.20)
Over 1.5
50.45%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 1.5
49.54%
▼
(-0.33)
Score analysis
Wolfsburg
32.34%
Draw
23.55%
Borussia Dortmund
44.09%
Wolfsburg
2-1
@
7.59%
▼
(-0.04)
1-0 @ 6.31% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 32.34%
1-0 @ 6.31% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 32.34%
Draw
1-1
@
10.68%
▼
(-0.06)
2-2 @ 6.43% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.55%
2-2 @ 6.43% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.55%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2
@
9.05%
▲
(+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.52% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 44.09%
0-1 @ 7.52% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 44.09%