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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Dec 15, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Hoffenheim logo

Dortmund
1 - 1
Hoffenheim

Reyna (46')
Gross (26'), Nmecha (44'), Reyna (73'), Bynoe-Gittens (76'), Adeyemi (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bruun Larsen (90+1')
Gendrey (21'), Geiger (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 2-3 Barcelona
Wednesday, December 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-0 FCSB
Thursday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Hoffenheim

Dortmund are in the midst of an injury crisis in their backline, and it would be remarkable if they managed to keep Hoffenheim at bay. Having said that, the visitors' record away from home is poor while Dortmund's is strong, and the hosts should come into Sunday's match as favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 59.28%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 20.56% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 1-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (5.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawHoffenheim
59.28% (0.561 0.56) 20.16% (-0.208 -0.21) 20.56% (-0.353 -0.35)
Both teams to score 62.54% (0.196 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.1% (0.504 0.5)33.9% (-0.504 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.24% (0.569 0.57)55.75% (-0.57 -0.57)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.73% (0.306 0.31)11.27% (-0.306 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.14% (0.66500000000001 0.67)35.86% (-0.664 -0.66)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)29.51% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)65.53% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 59.28%
    Hoffenheim 20.56%
    Draw 20.16%
Borussia DortmundDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.26% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-1 @ 7.04% (0.073 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.77% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 4.3% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.84% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 3.15% (0.073 0.07)
4-2 @ 2.34% (0.051 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.68% (0.058 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.38% (0.048 0.05)
5-2 @ 1.02% (0.035 0.04)
4-3 @ 0.95% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 59.28%
1-1 @ 8.86% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.33% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 20.16%
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-1 @ 4.06% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.48% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.2% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 20.56%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Hoffenheim

Borussia Dortmund
85.7%
Draw
11.4%
Hoffenheim
2.9%
70
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 23
Dortmund
2-3
Hoffenheim
Malen (21'), Schlotterbeck (25')
Sabitzer (45'), Malen (90+4')
Bebou (2'), Beier (61', 64')
Tohumcu (24'), Brooks (90+3'), Geiger (90+4')
Nov 1, 2023 5pm
Second Round
Dortmund
1-0
Hoffenheim
Reus (43')
Schlotterbeck (56')

Kabak (66'), Weghorst (75')
Kabak (90+3')
Sep 29, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 6
Hoffenheim
1-3
Dortmund
Kramaric (25' pen.)
Brooks (44'), Vogt (61'), Kabak (85')
Fullkrug (18'), Reus (45+3'), Ryerson (90+5')
Hummels (23'), Nmecha (60'), Bensebaini (67'), Reus (86')
Bensebaini (71')
Feb 25, 2023 2.30pm
Sep 2, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Dortmund
1-0
Hoffenheim
Reus (16')
Reus (57'), Bellingham (57'), Hummels (76')

Skov (35'), Vogt (57'), Kabak (64'), Kramaric (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern26195275245162
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26168259332656
3Mainz 05Mainz26136744281645
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26136754401445
5RB Leipzig2611964133842
6Freiburg2612683638-242
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26124104340340
8Wolfsburg2610884940938
9Augsburg2610882935-638
10Stuttgart2610794743437
11Borussia DortmundDortmund26105114541435
12Werder Bremen2696114053-1333
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2677122438-1428
14Hoffenheim2668123248-1626
15St Pauli2674152030-1025
16Heidenheim2654173152-2119
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2646162653-2718
18Holstein Kiel2645173864-2617


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