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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Dec 15, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Hoffenheim logo

Dortmund
1 - 1
Hoffenheim

Reyna (46')
Gross (26'), Nmecha (44'), Reyna (73'), Bynoe-Gittens (76'), Adeyemi (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bruun Larsen (90+1')
Gendrey (21'), Geiger (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 2-3 Barcelona
Wednesday, December 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-0 FCSB
Thursday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 59.28%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 20.56% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 1-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (5.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawHoffenheim
59.28% (0.561 0.56)20.16% (-0.208 -0.21)20.56% (-0.353 -0.35)
Both teams to score 62.54% (0.196 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.1% (0.504 0.5)33.9% (-0.504 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.24% (0.569 0.57)55.75% (-0.57 -0.57)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.73% (0.306 0.31)11.27% (-0.306 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.14% (0.66500000000001 0.67)35.86% (-0.664 -0.66)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)29.51% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)65.53% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 59.28%
    Hoffenheim 20.56%
    Draw 20.16%
Borussia DortmundDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.26% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-1 @ 7.04% (0.073 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.77% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 4.3% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.84% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 3.15% (0.073 0.07)
4-2 @ 2.34% (0.051 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.68% (0.058 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.38% (0.048 0.05)
5-2 @ 1.02% (0.035 0.04)
4-3 @ 0.95% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 59.28%
1-1 @ 8.86% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.33% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 20.16%
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-1 @ 4.06% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.48% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.2% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 20.56%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Hoffenheim

Borussia Dortmund
85.7%
Draw
11.4%
Hoffenheim
2.9%
70
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 23
Dortmund
2-3
Hoffenheim
Malen (21'), Schlotterbeck (25')
Sabitzer (45'), Malen (90+4')
Bebou (2'), Beier (61', 64')
Tohumcu (24'), Brooks (90+3'), Geiger (90+4')
Nov 1, 2023 5pm
Second Round
Dortmund
1-0
Hoffenheim
Reus (43')
Schlotterbeck (56')

Kabak (66'), Weghorst (75')
Kabak (90+3')
Sep 29, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 6
Hoffenheim
1-3
Dortmund
Kramaric (25' pen.)
Brooks (44'), Vogt (61'), Kabak (85')
Fullkrug (18'), Reus (45+3'), Ryerson (90+5')
Hummels (23'), Nmecha (60'), Bensebaini (67'), Reus (86')
Bensebaini (71')
Feb 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Hoffenheim
0-1
Dortmund
Brandt (43')
Sep 2, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Dortmund
1-0
Hoffenheim
Reus (16')
Reus (57'), Bellingham (57'), Hummels (76')

Skov (35'), Vogt (57'), Kabak (64'), Kramaric (80')