Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.