Champions League

Champions League | League Stage

Nov 26, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys

Barcelona
3 - 0
Brest

Lewandowski (10' pen., 90+2'), Olmo (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lala (24'), Camara (63'), Ajorque (74'), Le Cardinal (81')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-2 Barcelona
Saturday, November 23 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brest

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Monaco 3-2 Brest
Friday, November 22 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 62.39%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Brest had a probability of 18.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.9%) and 3-1 (7.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Brest
62.39% ( 0.04)	19.02% ( -0.02)	18.59% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 63.27% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.56% (

0.04)

31.43% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.1% (

0.04)

52.9% (

-0.05)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.25% (

0.02)

9.75% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.55% (

0.05)

32.44% (

-0.05)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.11% (

-0)

29.89% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.01% (

-0)

65.99% (

Score Analysis

Barcelona 62.39%

Brest 18.59%

Draw 19.02%

Barcelona	Draw	Brest
2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.13% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.47% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.6% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.01% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.66% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.21% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 3.78% Total : 62.39%	1-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 19.02%	1-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0) Other @ 3.69% Total : 18.59%