MX23RW : Wednesday, December 4 23:48:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Brest logo

Montpellier
3 - 1
Brest

Nordin (6' pen.), Khazri (12'), Coulibaly (84')
Khazri (16'), Ferri (56'), Sagnan (62'), Toure (69'), Chennahi (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Martin (50')
Martin (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Le Havre 1-0 Montpellier
Sunday, November 3 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Sparta Prague 1-2 Brest
Wednesday, November 6 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Montpellier HSC 0-1 Brest

Despite being in the bottom half, Brest's start to the Ligue 1 season has been more than respectable considering they are also juggling European commitments, and they will fancy their chances of a fourth straight away win here. All four of Montpellier's points have come at home this season, but the humbling they received from Toulouse in their last outing suggests familiar surroundings may do little to save them here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawBrest
28.97% (0.881 0.88) 24.22% (0.257 0.26) 46.81% (-1.137 -1.14)
Both teams to score 57.65% (-0.238 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.42% (-0.602 -0.6)44.58% (0.60400000000001 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.06% (-0.585 -0.59)66.95% (0.587 0.59)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.33% (0.31599999999999 0.32)28.67% (-0.314 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.51% (0.393 0.39)64.49% (-0.392 -0.39)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.83% (-0.69499999999999 -0.69)19.18% (0.697 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.15% (-1.164 -1.16)50.85% (1.167 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 28.97%
    Brest 46.81%
    Draw 24.22%
Montpellier HSCDrawBrest
2-1 @ 7.09% (0.151 0.15)
1-0 @ 6.87% (0.236 0.24)
2-0 @ 4.29% (0.184 0.18)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.091 0.09)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 28.97%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.142 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.22%
1-2 @ 9.37% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
0-1 @ 9.08% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.5% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-3 @ 5.16% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-3 @ 4.13% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.13% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.7% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 46.81%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Brest

Montpellier HSC
23.8%
Draw
9.5%
Brest
66.7%
42
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 18
Brest
2-0
Montpellier
Magnetti (48'), Le Douaron (90+2')
Magnetti (45')

Chotard (44'), Jullien (57')
Nov 26, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 13
Montpellier
1-3
Brest
Savanier (51' pen.)
Savanier (24'), Adams (90+6')
Esteve (20' og.), Pereira Lage (64'), Doumbia (90+3')
Lees-Melou (30'), Del Castillo (45')
Feb 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 23
Montpellier
3-0
Brest
Herelle (4' og.), Savanier (17' pen.), Wahi (54')
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 4
Brest
0-7
Montpellier

Lees-Melou (50')
Maouassa (6'), Wahi (10', 31'), Khazri (11'), Cozza (25'), Germain (64', 84')
Nordin (62'), Leroy (71')
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 30
Montpellier
1-2
Brest
Savanier (90+3' pen.)
Mavididi (32'), Sakho (33')
Satriano (69'), Honorat (79')
Satriano (7'), Herelle (31'), Chardonnet (66'), Brassier (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG13103037112633
2Marseille1382329171226
3MonacoMonaco1382322121026
4Lille136522113823
5Lyon136432317622
6Nice135532416820
7Lens135531512320
8Auxerre136162121019
9Reims135352018218
10Toulouse135351514118
11Brest135171923-416
12Rennes134271819-114
13StrasbourgStrasbourg133462227-513
14Angers133461421-713
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne134181130-1913
16Le HavreLe Havre134091024-1412
17NantesNantes132561520-511
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier132291334-218


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