Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 14

Dec 13, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
3 - 2
Wolfsburg

Kubler (42', 51'), Gregoritsch (61')
Kubler (22'), Gregoritsch (31'), Rosenfelder (76'), Eggestein (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Wind (75'), Svanberg (83')
Vavro (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-1 Freiburg
Sunday, December 8 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Wolfsburg 4-3 Mainz
Sunday, December 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Wolfsburg
46.15% ( 0.06)	23.71% ( 0)	30.13% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 60.17% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.41% (

-0.06)

41.58% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.01% (

-0.06)

63.99% (

0.06)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.73% (

18.26% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.68%

49.31% (

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.62% (

-0.06)

26.38% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.46% (

-0.09)

61.53% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 46.15%

Wolfsburg 30.14%

Draw 23.71%

Freiburg	Draw	Wolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 46.15%	1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.71%	1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.42% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 30.14%