Arminia Bielefeld logos
DFB-Pokal | Round of 16
Dec 3, 2024 at 5pm UK
SchucoArena
Freiburg logo

Arminia Bielefeld
3 - 1
Freiburg

Lannert (28'), Kania (36' pen.), Oppie (81')
Grosser (15')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gregoritsch (63')
Eggestein (35'), Sildillia (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Arminia Bielefeld and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arminia Bielefeld

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 Union Berlin
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Freiburg

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Freiburg 3-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, November 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arminia Bielefeld would win this match.

Result
Arminia BielefeldDrawFreiburg
45.9% (0.19 0.19)25.43% (0.181 0.18)28.67% (-0.375 -0.38)
Both teams to score 53.46% (-0.831 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.01% (-0.974 -0.97)49.99% (0.97 0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.03% (-0.872 -0.87)71.97% (0.87 0.87)
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.23% (-0.32000000000001 -0.32)21.77% (0.316 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.03% (-0.49 -0.49)54.96% (0.487 0.49)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.33% (-0.78099999999999 -0.78)31.66% (0.778 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.92% (-0.906 -0.91)68.08% (0.902 0.9)
Score Analysis
    Arminia Bielefeld 45.9%
    Freiburg 28.67%
    Draw 25.42%
Arminia BielefeldDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 10.51% (0.32 0.32)
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.01% (0.162 0.16)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.55% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 45.9%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.89% (0.267 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 7.93% (0.142 0.14)
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 28.67%

How you voted: Arminia Bielefeld vs Freiburg

Arminia Bielefeld
12.5%
Draw
14.3%
Freiburg
73.2%
56
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Freiburg
2-2
Arminia Bielefeld
Haberer (6'), Woo-yeong (46')
Schlotterbeck (53'), Gulde (76')
Okugawa (60'), Lasme (87')
Hack (69')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Arminia Bielefeld
0-0
Freiburg
Prietl (17'), Laursen (30'), Klos (89')
Keitel (34'), Gulde (37'), Hofler (75'), Demirovic (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 28
Arminia Bielefeld
1-0
Freiburg
Santamaria (68' og.)
Klos (56'), Voglsammer (58'), de Medina (90+3')

Santamaria (56'), Schmid (85')
> Preview
Dec 12, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Freiburg
2-0
Arminia Bielefeld
Grifo (79' pen.), Woo-yeong (90+2')
Holer (26'), Hofler (66'), Grifo (80')
> Preview