Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Dortmund
Jan 10, 2025 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
B. Leverkusen
  • Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 12' goal
  • Serhou Guirassy 79' goal
  • Felix Nmecha 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Nathan Tella 1'
  • goal Patrik Schick 8'
  • goal Patrik Schick 19'
  • yellowcard Patrik Schick 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Edmond Tapsoba 78'

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Dec 22, 2024 4.30pm
Wolfsburg 1 - 3 Dortmund
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Serhou Guirassy

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Dec 21, 2024 5.30pm
B. Leverkusen 5 - 1 Freiburg
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Patrik Schick

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 37.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.47%) and 0-2 (5.28%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result

Borussia Dortmund 37.55% ▲ (+2.04)
Draw 23.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Bayer Leverkusen 39.14% ▼ (-2.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.15% ▲ (+0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.61% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 37.39% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 40.39% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 59.61% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 22.45% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 77.54% ▼ (-0.04)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 79.72% ▲ (+1.03)
Under 0.5 20.27% ▼ (-1.03)
Over 1.5 47.37% ▲ (+1.62)
Under 1.5 52.63% ▼ (-1.62)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 80.47% ▼ (-0.91)
Under 0.5 19.53% ▲ (+0.91)
Over 1.5 48.57% ▼ (-1.50)
Under 1.5 51.43% ▲ (+1.50)

Score analysis

Borussia Dortmund 37.55%
Draw 23.3%
Bayer Leverkusen 39.14%
Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.23% ▲ (+0.27)
1-0 @ 6.32% ▲ (+0.19)
2-0 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.30)
3-1 @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.27)
3-2 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.13)
3-0 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.24)
4-1 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.16)
4-2 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.10)
4-0 @ 1.07% ▼ (-93.43)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 37.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.32% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.3%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2 @ 8.43% ▼ (-0.24)
0-1 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.21)
0-2 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.33)
1-3 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.27)
2-3 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.27)
1-4 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.17)
2-4 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.09)
0-4 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 39.14%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Dortmund
Apr 21, 2024 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
B. Leverkusen
  • Ian Maatsen 37' yellowcard
  • Emre Can 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Niclas Fullkrug 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Niclas Fullkrug 81' goal
  • Nico Schlotterbeck 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Tella 28'
  • yellowcard Jeremie Frimpong 88'
  • yellowcard Granit Xhaka 90'+1'
  • goal Josip Stanisic 90'+7'
Bundesliga Gameweek 13
B. Leverkusen
Dec 3, 2023 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT BayArena
Dortmund
  • Jeremie Frimpong 12' yellowcard
  • Exequiel Palacios 74' yellowcard
  • Victor Okoh Boniface 79' goal
  • Kossonou Odilon 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Julian Ryerson 5'
  • yellowcard Mats Hummels 77'
  • yellowcard Marius Wolf 90'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 18
B. Leverkusen
Jan 29, 2023 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Dortmund
  • goal Karim Adeyemi 33'
  • goal Edmond Tapsoba 53' (OG)
Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Dortmund
Aug 6, 2022 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
B. Leverkusen
  • Marco Reus 10' goal
  • Thorgan Hazard 43' yellowcard
  • Nico Schlotterbeck 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Tah 27'
  • yellowcard Exequiel Palacios 37'
  • yellowcard Piero Hincapie 56'
  • redcard Lukas Hradecky 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Mitchel Bakker 90'+5'
Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Dortmund
Feb 6, 2022 2.30pm
2
5
HT : 1 3
FT
B. Leverkusen
  • Jeremie Frimpong 16' goal
  • Mahmoud Dahoud 26' yellowcard
  • Steffen Tigges 89' goal
  • goal Manuel Akanji 11' (OG)
  • goal Florian Wirtz 20'
  • goal Robert Andrich 28'
  • yellowcard Karim Bellarabi 46'
  • goal Jonathan Tah 53'
  • goal Moussa Diaby 87'
Bundesliga Gameweek 4
B. Leverkusen
Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
3
4
HT : 2 1
FT
Dortmund
  • Florian Wirtz 9' goal
  • Patrik Schick 45'+1' goal
  • Moussa Diaby 55' goal
  • Florian Wirtz 60' yellowcard
  • Jeremie Frimpong 70' yellowcard
  • Kossonou Odilon 75' yellowcard
  • Moussa Diaby 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thomas Meunier 20'
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 37'
  • goal Julian Brandt 49'
  • yellowcard Erling Braut Haaland 60'
  • goal Raphael Guerreiro 71'
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 77'
  • yellowcard Marius Wolf 90'+2'

Form Data

Wolfsburg 1 - 3 Dortmund
Dortmund 1 - 1 Hoffenheim
Dortmund 2 - 3 Barcelona
Borussia M'bach 1 - 1 Dortmund
Dortmund 1 - 1 Bayern
Dinamo Zagreb 0 - 3 Dortmund
B. Leverkusen 5 - 1 Freiburg
Augsburg 0 - 2 B. Leverkusen
B. Leverkusen 1 - 0 Inter Milan
B. Leverkusen 2 - 1 St Pauli
Bayern 0 - 1 B. Leverkusen
Union Berlin 1 - 2 B. Leverkusen