Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 15

Dec 21, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
5 - 1
Freiburg

Schick (45+1', 67', 74', 77'), Wirtz (51')
Schick (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Grifo (55')
Kubler (24'), Rohl (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Augsburg 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, December 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Wolfsburg
Friday, December 13 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 72.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 10.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Freiburg
72.49% ( 0.17)	16.67% ( -0.09)	10.85% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 50.6% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.23% (

0.25)

37.77% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.99% (

0.27)

60.02% (

-0.26)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.91% (

0.11)

9.1% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.1% (

0.24)

30.9% (

-0.24)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.66% (

0.04)

44.34% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.6% (

0.03)

80.4% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 72.49%

Freiburg 10.85%

Draw 16.67%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Freiburg
2-0 @ 11.59% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.15% Total : 72.49%	1-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 16.67%	0-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 2% Total : 10.85%