Bundesliga Gameweek 15
B. Leverkusen
Dec 21, 2024 5.30pm
5
1
HT : 1 0
FT BayArena
Freiburg
  • Patrik Schick 45'+1' goal
  • Florian Wirtz 51' goal
  • Patrik Schick 67' goal
  • Patrik Schick 74' goal
  • Patrik Schick 77' goal
  • Patrik Schick 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lukas Kubler 24'
  • goal Vincenzo Grifo 55'
  • yellowcard Merlin Rohl 90'+1'

Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Dec 14, 2024 2.30pm
Augsburg 0 - 2 B. Leverkusen
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Patrik Schick

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
Dec 13, 2024 7.30pm
Freiburg 3 - 2 Wolfsburg
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Ritsu Doan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 72.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 10.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 72.49% ▲ (+0.18)
Draw 16.67% ▼ (-0.10)
Freiburg 10.85% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.6% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.23% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 2.5 37.77% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 3.5 39.99% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 3.5 60.02% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 4.5 22.13% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 4.5 77.87% ▼ (-0.22)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 90.91% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 0.5 9.1% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 1.5 69.1% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 30.9% ▼ (-0.24)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 55.66% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 44.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 19.6% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 80.4% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 72.49%
Draw 16.67%
Freiburg 10.85%
Bayer Leverkusen
2-0 @ 11.59% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 9.67% ▼ (-0.08)
2-1 @ 9.43% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 9.26% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.02)
6-0 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 72.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 16.67%
Freiburg
0-1 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2%
Total : 10.85%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Freiburg
Mar 17, 2024 2.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
B. Leverkusen
  • Ritsu Doan 10' goal
  • Nicolas Hofler 72' yellowcard
  • Yannik Keitel 79' goal
  • goal Florian Wirtz 2'
  • goal Adam Hlozek 40'
  • goal Patrik Schick 53'
Bundesliga Gameweek 9
B. Leverkusen
Oct 29, 2023 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT BayArena
Freiburg
  • Florian Wirtz 36' goal
  • Jonas Hofmann 60' goal
  • yellowcard Lukas Kubler 14'
  • goal Manuel Gulde 70'
  • yellowcard Christian Streich 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Lucas Holer 90'+4'
Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Freiburg
Feb 26, 2023 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
B. Leverkusen
  • Vincenzo Grifo 29' goal
  • goal Sardar Azmoun 67'
Bundesliga Gameweek 5
B. Leverkusen
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT
Freiburg
  • Jonathan Tah 5' yellowcard
  • Kerem Demirbay 16' goal
  • Patrik Schick 65' goal
  • Nadiem Amiri 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Hofler 34'
  • goal Matthias Ginter 48'
  • goal Michael Gregoritsch 51'
  • yellowcard Michael Gregoritsch 53'
  • goal Ritsu Doan 72'
Bundesliga Gameweek 34
B. Leverkusen
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Freiburg
  • Moussa Diaby 18' yellowcard
  • Julian Baumgartlinger 26' yellowcard
  • Lucas Alario 54' goal
  • Exequiel Palacios 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Maximilian Eggestein 3'
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 43'
  • yellowcard Kiliann Sildillia 77'
  • goal Janik Haberer 88'
Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Freiburg
Dec 19, 2021 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
B. Leverkusen
  • Nico Schlotterbeck 30' yellowcard
  • Vincenzo Grifo 33' goal
  • Kevin Schade 84' goal
  • Lucas Holer 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jeremie Frimpong 32'
  • yellowcard Robert Andrich 39'
  • goal Charles Aranguiz 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Kossonou Odilon 82'

Form Data

Augsburg 0 - 2 B. Leverkusen
B. Leverkusen 1 - 0 Inter Milan
B. Leverkusen 2 - 1 St Pauli
Bayern 0 - 1 B. Leverkusen
Union Berlin 1 - 2 B. Leverkusen
B. Leverkusen 5 - 0 Salzburg
Freiburg 3 - 2 Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim 1 - 1 Freiburg
Arminia Bielefeld 3 - 1 Freiburg
Freiburg 3 - 1 Borussia M'bach
Dortmund 4 - 0 Freiburg
Union Berlin 0 - 0 Freiburg