/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbollog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F27%2Fmonlog.png)
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Santiago Castro
22'
-
Jens Odgaard
34'
-
Santiago Castro
45'+1'
-
Riccardo Orsolini
69'
-
Daniel Maldini
4'
-
Jean-Daniel Akpa-Akpro
24'
-
Giorgos Kiriakopoulos
36'
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Armando Izzo
90'+4'
Bologna vs Monza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F40%2Fsantiago-castro.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Monza had a probability of 17.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result
Bologna
57.94%
▲
(+0.97)
Draw
24.87%
▼
(-0.35)
Monza
17.19%
▼
(-0.63)
Both Teams to Score:
41.83%
▼
(-0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5
41.56%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 2.5
58.44%
▼
(-0.37)
Over 3.5
20.97%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 3.5
79.03%
▼
(-0.29)
Over 4.5
8.9%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 4.5
91.1%
▼
(-0.17)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5
79.84%
▲
(+0.53)
Under 0.5
20.15%
▼
(-0.53)
Over 1.5
47.57%
▲
(+0.84)
Under 1.5
52.43%
▼
(-0.85)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5
52.39%
▼
(-0.57)
Under 0.5
47.61%
▲
(+0.57)
Over 1.5
17.06%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 1.5
82.94%
▲
(+0.43)
Score analysis
Bologna
57.92%
Draw
24.87%
Monza
17.19%
Bologna
1-0
@
15.36%
▲
(+0.03)
2-0 @ 12.3% ▲ (+0.23)
2-1 @ 9.14% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.57% ▲ (+0.23)
3-1 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.10)
4-0 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.14)
4-1 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 57.92%
2-0 @ 12.3% ▲ (+0.23)
2-1 @ 9.14% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.57% ▲ (+0.23)
3-1 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.10)
4-0 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.14)
4-1 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 57.92%
Draw
1-1
@
11.4%
▼
(-0.17)
0-0 @ 9.59% ▼ (-0.14)
2-2 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 24.87%
0-0 @ 9.59% ▼ (-0.14)
2-2 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 24.87%
Monza
0-1
@
7.12%
▼
(-0.22)
1-2 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 17.19%
1-2 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 17.19%
Alexis Saelemaekers
86'