Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 21

Jan 18, 2025 at 2pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
3 - 1
Monza

Castro (22'), Odgaard (34'), Orsolini (69')
Castro (45+1')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Maldini (4')
Akpa-Akpro (24'), Kiriakopoulos (36'), Izzo (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-2 Bologna
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Monza 2-1 Fiorentina
Monday, January 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Monza had a probability of 17.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Monza
57.94% ( 0.96)	24.87% ( -0.34)	17.19% ( -0.62)

Both teams to score 41.83% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.56% (

0.37)

58.44% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.97% (

0.28)

79.03% (

-0.29)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.84% (

0.52)

20.15% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.57% (

0.84)

52.43% (

-0.84)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.39% (

-0.57)

47.61% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.06% (

-0.43)

82.94% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

Bologna 57.92%

Monza 17.19%

Draw 24.87%

Bologna	Draw	Monza
1-0 @ 15.36% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 12.3% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.28% Total : 57.92%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.48% Total : 24.87%	0-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.15% Total : 17.19%